SatEvo decay list #118 (issued 2001 June 21) This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is posted to the satellite observers mailing list, SeeSat-L, and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe. Information about SeeSat-L is available at http://www2.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html In most cases, the "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate their decay by 2001 August 20, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers are included beyond that date. This and other recent decay lists are available on the WWW via my SatEvo page at http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/ Linked from this page are files containing recent elsets for all the Iridium satellites, all the objects in this decay list, plus elsets for other selected objects including the ISS, the Shuttle and all newly launched and/or catalogued objects. I also maintain a large file, satbase.tle, containing recent elsets for some 8,400 satellites. This is available in zipped form from the same address. I publish my own and SpaceCom's updated predictions for the larger decayers during their final days on my Decay Watch page at http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/ This includes my predicted elsets for these objects. # Designation Name ---- Decay (2001) ---- Predicted Actual? 26723 01- 10 B STS-102 deb (PAD) June 7.7 23518 95- 9 H Glonass 71 aux motor June 8.34 24337 94- 29 NN STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 11.9 7487 73- 86 FT NOAA 3 Delta 1 deb June 13.7 23989 94- 29 AK STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 13.8 6085 70- 89 CT Cosmos 374 deb June 14.3 3524 68- 91 M Cosmos 249 deb June 15.6 8298 74- 89 BF Thorad Delta 1 deb June 15.9 17471 86- 19 HJ Spot 1 Ariane 1 deb June 16.2 26856 01- 25 D Astra 2C Proton casing June 16.80 26854 01- 25 B Astra 2C Proton r June 18.20 24247 94- 29 LW STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 19.9 Note 1 26447 99- 57 KU CBERS LM4 deb June 20.1 Note 1 24000 94- 29 AV STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 20.2 Note 1 26457 99- 57 HU CBERS LM4 deb June 21.4 22424 92- 93 DR Cosmos 2272 Zenit deb June 21.5 20611 90- 43 E Macsat 1 Scout deb June 24 1347 65- 20 S Cosmos 61 deb June 29 24158 94- 29 HH STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 30 3467 65- 82 PY OV2-1/LCS2 deb July 2 19641 87- 20 CF Cosmos 1823 deb July 5 4726 70- 91 X Cosmos 375 deb July 6 25361 94- 29 ADN STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 6 18980 88- 22 A Molniya 1-72 July 7? 26337 99- 57 HW CBERS LM4 deb July 7 24767 94- 29 ABM STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 8 26739 01- 13 C Mars Odyssey Delta 2 r July 9 26335 99- 57 HU CBERS LM4 deb July 10 23099 94- 27 A SROSS-C2 July 11 26334 99- 57 HT CBERS LM4 deb July 12 2496 63- 14 AD Westford Needles deb July 15 23071 89- 89 BS COBE deb July 15 10181 77- 65 K GMS 1 Delta deb July 17 26314 99- 57 GX CBERS LM4 deb July 17 16939 86- 68 D Molniya 1-68 r2 July 18 12750 81- 53 CT Cosmos 1275 deb July 22 24323 96- 56 B GPS 2-27 r1 July 25 24976 94- 29 ACJ STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 25 3683 68- 91 AJ Cosmos 249 deb July 26 23172 94- 38 E Cosmos 2282 aux motor July 26 4940 70 -91 AH Cosmos 375 deb July 28 22933 93- 78 D DBS 1 r July 29 26404 00- 39 A NINA/MITA O July 30 26295 99- 57 GH CBERS LM4 deb July 31 20612 90- 43 F Macsat 1 Scout deb August 2 11266 79- 11 A Cosmos 1076 August 5 24068 94- 29 DR STEP-2 Pegasus deb August 6 4890 69- 82 GZ OPS 1807 ThAg deb August 7 19544 88- 90 D Molniya 3-33 r2 August 12? 19055 63- 14 EC Westford Needles deb August 16 18127 87- 53 B DMSP 5D-2 F8 deb August 18 24184 94- 29 JK STEP-2 Pegasus deb August 18 22048 92- 43 F Gorizont 26 aux motor August 23 15955 85- 71 D Cosmos 1675 r August 31? 14319 83- 90 D Molniya 3-21 r2 September 14516 83-114 A Molniya 1-59 September Note 1. SpaceCom has yet to confirm this decay. Alan -- Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/ Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/ * ----------------------------------------------------------------- Unsubscribe from SeeSat-L by sending a message with 'unsubscribe' in the SUBJECT to SeeSat-L-request@lists.satellite.eu.org http://www2.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html
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