Decay Report + Forecast

From: Harro Zimmer (Harro.Zimmer@t-online.de)
Date: Sun Jun 17 2001 - 03:44:26 PDT

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    Report time 10:15 UTC
    
    2001-025D (#26856) Proton "Debris"  aka DM stage casing
    
    SPACeCOM'S FINAL REPORT - prepared June 16, 19:15 UTC - shows the decay on
                       16 June, 19:08 UTC  +/- 27 minutes (37.6S, 68.9E)
    on an ascending pass over the Indian Ocean.
    MPM + RENTRY delivers with the ELSET'S 01167.512... -001167.766... the decay on
                       16 June, 19:23 UTC +/- 17  minutes (21.42N, 119.59E)
    also on a northbound pass over the Pacific.
    
    2001-025B (#26854) Proton 3. stage
    
    SPACECOM issued yesterday morning (UTC) their last and totally wrong decay 
    prediction (Decay: June 16, 23:40 UTC).
    With MPM + REENTRY and the ELSET'S 01167.741... - 01168.291... my  forecast for
    the decay is     June 18, 00:07 UTC +/- 22 minutes (44.11S, 253.35E)
    on a descending pass over the Pacific. I don't exclude the possibility of an
    one rev earlier decay.
    
    Harro
    Harro.Zimmer@t-online.de
    Berlin, Germany
      
    
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