Decay Report + Forecast

From: Harro Zimmer (Harro.Zimmer@t-online.de)
Date: Sun Jun 17 2001 - 03:44:26 PDT

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Report time 10:15 UTC

2001-025D (#26856) Proton "Debris"  aka DM stage casing

SPACeCOM'S FINAL REPORT - prepared June 16, 19:15 UTC - shows the decay on
                   16 June, 19:08 UTC  +/- 27 minutes (37.6°S, 68.9°E)
on an ascending pass over the Indian Ocean.
MPM + RENTRY delivers with the ELSET'S 01167.512... -001167.766... the decay on
                   16 June, 19:23 UTC +/- 17  minutes (21.42°N, 119.59°E)
also on a northbound pass over the Pacific.

2001-025B (#26854) Proton 3. stage

SPACECOM issued yesterday morning (UTC) their last and totally wrong decay 
prediction (Decay: June 16, 23:40 UTC).
With MPM + REENTRY and the ELSET'S 01167.741... - 01168.291... my  forecast for
the decay is     June 18, 00:07 UTC +/- 22 minutes (44.11°S, 253.35°E)
on a descending pass over the Pacific. I don't exclude the possibility of an
one rev earlier decay.

Harro
Harro.Zimmer@t-online.de
Berlin, Germany
  

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