Decay watch: 2001 June 7

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Thu Jun 07 2001 - 11:15:32 PDT

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    From my Decay watch page...
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #23518 = 95-  9 H = Glonass 71 aux motor
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                   UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SpaceCom   Jun 06 22:17     Jun 08 06:31 +-20h       44.0 S    14.6 W
    SatEvo     Jun 07 17:55     Jun 08 11:26 +-8h        46.6 S    87.2 W
    
    Latest elset:
    Glonass 71 aux motor                             1269 x 99 km
    1 23518U 95009H   01158.51344103  .53302507  67994-6  98333-3 0  6372
    2 23518  63.8520 133.2950 0828914 206.3930 149.3595 14.62880286100409
    
    SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
    (..ends)
    Glonass 71 aux motor                             549 x 93 km
    1 23518U 95009H   01159.37307604 1.28130710  13392+1  11010-2 0 96327
    2 23518  63.8005 130.4105 0340510 206.2316 152.0034 15.83440052100536
    Glonass 71 aux motor                             449 x 92 km
    1 23518U 95009H   01159.43595274 1.64673024  26442+1  11901-2 0 96325
    2 23518  63.7951 130.1741 0268295 206.2249 152.3915 16.01574883100545
    Glonass 71 aux motor                             311 x 90 km
    1 23518U 95009H   01159.49803011 2.69713166  13807+2  13988-2 0 96329
    2 23518  63.7850 129.9336 0167937 206.2182 152.9217 16.27008792100557
    
    Note: I suspect that decay is most likely near perigee on the 
    penultimate of these SatEvo-predicted orbits, which puts it
    southbound to the W of Chile. The uncertainty is still several 
    orbits.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
    Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707:  55d53m48.7s N   3d11m51.2s W      156m asl
    Edinburgh  / SatEvo & elsets:    http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    Scotland  / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
             *
    
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