SatEvo decay list #117

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Sun Jun 03 2001 - 10:57:17 PDT

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    SatEvo decay list #117 (issued 2001 June 3)
    
    This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is
    posted to the satellite observers mailing list, SeeSat-L, and to the
    Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe.
    Information about SeeSat-L is available at
       http://www2.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html
    
    In most cases, the "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the
    published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days.
    Objects are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate their
    decay by 2001 July 31, although some larger and/or more interesting
    decayers are included beyond that date.
    
    This and other recent decay lists are available on the WWW via my SatEvo
    page at
                   http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    Linked from this page are files containing recent elsets for all the
    Iridium satellites, all the objects in this decay list, plus elsets for
    other selected objects including the ISS, the Shuttle and all newly 
    launched and/or catalogued objects. I also maintain a large file, 
    satbase.tle, containing recent elsets for some 8,400 satellites. 
    This is available in zipped form from the same address.
    
    I publish my own and SpaceCom's updated predictions for the larger 
    decayers during their final days on my Decay Watch page at
                   http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
    This includes my predicted elsets for these objects.
    
    
       #    Designation    Name               ---- Decay (2001) ----
                                                Predicted   Actual?
    
     26768   01- 19 C   PAS-10 Proton casing                May 15.69
     26767   01- 19 B   PAS-10 Proton r1                    May 16.91
     14313   83- 90 A   Molniya 3-21                        May 22.05
     26774   01- 21 B   Progress M1-6 Soyuz-FG r            May 22.64
     26502   00- 49 G   Raduga-1 5 aux motor                May 23.14
     11252   79-  5 B   Meteor 1-29 r                       May 24.40
     20614   90- 43 H   Macsat 1 Scout deb                  May 26.6
     26424   99- 57 JV  CBERS LM4 deb                       May 28.5
     17094   79- 17 JH  Solwind deb                         May 28.4
     26776   01- 22 B   Cosmos 2377 Soyuz r                 Jun  2.84
     26723   01- 10 B   STS-102 deb (PAD)         June  7
     23518   95-  9 H   Glonass 71 aux motor      June  8
     24337   94- 29 NN  STEP-2 Pegasus deb        June  9
     23989   94- 29 AK  STEP-2 Pegasus deb        June 11
      6085   70- 89 CT  Cosmos 374 deb            June 12
      8298   74- 89 BF  Thorad Delta 1 deb        June 16
      3524   68- 91 M   Cosmos 249 deb            June 17
     24000   94- 29 AV  STEP-2 Pegasus deb        June 17
     17471   86- 19 HJ  Spot 1 Ariane 1 deb       June 19
      7487   73- 86 FT  NOAA 3 Delta 1 deb        June 21
     22424   92- 93 DR  Cosmos 2272 Zenit deb     June 21
     26447   99- 57 KU  CBERS LM4 deb             June 21
      1347   65- 20 S   Cosmos 61 deb             June 22
     26457   99- 57 HU  CBERS LM4 deb             June 22
     24247   94- 29 LW  STEP-2 Pegasus deb        June 24
     19641   87- 20 CF  Cosmos 1823 deb           June 27
     20611   90- 43 E   Macsat 1 Scout deb        June 28
     24158   94- 29 HH  STEP-2 Pegasus deb        July  3
      3467   65- 82 PY  OV2-1/LCS2 deb            July  6
     26335   99- 57 HU  CBERS LM4 deb             July  7
     26337   99- 57 HW  CBERS LM4 deb             July  7
     26739   01- 13 C   Mars Odyssey Delta 2 r    July  7
     26334   99- 57 HT  CBERS LM4 deb             July  9
     24767   94- 29 ABM STEP-2 Pegasus deb        July 11
      4726   70- 91 X   Cosmos 375 deb            July 13
     23099   94- 27 A   SROSS-C2                  July 14
     23071   89- 89 BS  COBE deb                  July 16
     16939   86- 68 D   Molniya 1-68 r2           July 17
     25361   94- 29 ADN STEP-2 Pegasus deb        July 17
     26314   99- 57 GX  CBERS LM4 deb             July 17
     10181   77- 65 K   GMS 1 Delta deb           July 21
     26295   99- 57 GH  CBERS LM4 deb             July 24
     12750   81- 53 CT  Cosmos 1275 deb           July 25
     26404   00- 39 A   NINA/MITA O               July 26
     24323   96- 56 B   GPS 2-27 r1               July 29
     18980   88- 22 A   Molniya 1-72              June 25?
     22933   93- 78 D   DBS 1 r                   July 29
     23172   94- 38 E   Cosmos 2282 aux motor   August  1
     22048   92- 43 F   Gorizont 26 aux motor   August  5
     11266   79- 11 A   Cosmos 1076             August 10
     19544   88- 90 D   Molniya 3-33 r2         August 19?
     15955   85- 71 D   Cosmos 1675 r           August 31?
     14319   83- 90 D   Molniya 3-21 r2      September
     14516   83-114 A   Molniya 1-59         September
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
    Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707:  55d53m48.7s N   3d11m51.2s W      156m asl
    Edinburgh  / SatEvo & elsets:    http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    Scotland  / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
             *
    
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