Decay watch: 2000 Jun 24 #2

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Sat Jun 24 2000 - 11:51:39 PDT

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    Predictions for the Express 3A Proton and "platform", from my newly
    updated Decay Watch page...
    
    
    Object: #26379 = 00- 31 B = Express 3A Proton r
    
    Notice prepared: 2000 Jun 24 18:40 UTC
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                   UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    
    SpaceCom   Jun 24 11:34     Jun 26 05:31 +-1d        42.5 N    53.3 E
    
    SatEvo     Jun 24 18:40     Jun 26 06:27 +-9h
    
    Latest elset:
    Express 3A Proton r                              187 x 184 km
    1 26379U 00031B   00176.56308263  .02737489  12204-4  45272-3 0    74
    2 26379  51.6227 285.9418 0002513 311.8394  48.2402 16.32596740    91
    
    SatEvo prediction:
    Express 3A Proton r                              183 x 180 km
    1 26379U 00031B   00176.80779518  .03106194  55579-2  44210-3 0 90070
    2 26379  51.6223 284.5713 0002375 312.8628  47.1173 16.34025493   139
    Express 3A Proton r                              179 x 176 km
    1 26379U 00031B   00177.05229644  .03585864  76639-2  42914-3 0 90072
    2 26379  51.6218 283.1990 0002221 313.8876  46.0940 16.35655364   172
    Express 3A Proton r                              174 x 171 km
    1 26379U 00031B   00177.29653435  .04276462  11547-1  41379-3 0 90079
    2 26379  51.6213 281.8247 0002063 314.9139  45.0694 16.37564385   219
    Express 3A Proton r                              167 x 165 km
    1 26379U 00031B   00177.54045840  .05386126  20116-1  39581-3 0 90076
    2 26379  51.6206 280.4480 0001908 315.9420  44.0428 16.39896157   251
    Express 3A Proton r                              159 x 157 km
    1 26379U 00031B   00177.78398591  .07568307  45036-1  37499-3 0 90075
    2 26379  51.6197 279.0684 0001699 316.9724  43.0143 16.42981551   299
    
    Note: This enters eclipse while southbound near 50 deg S at ~17:30
    local time. Eclipse exit occurs northbound near 37 deg N at ~03:30
    local time.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #26380 = 00- 31 C = Express 3A Proton platform
    
    Notice prepared: 2000 Jun 24 18:25 UTC
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                   UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    
    SpaceCom   Jun 24 11:57     Jun 24 23:07 +-7h         6.3 S   150.2 W
    
    SatEvo     Jun 24 18:25     Jun 24 22:56 +-90m       13.6 N   164.7 W
    
    Latest elset:
    Express 3A Proton platform                       177 x 170 km
    1 26380U 00031C   00176.62428595  .09762523  12323-4  99370-3 0    45
    2 26380  51.6146 285.6075 0005323  86.4699 273.7025 16.37091782   103
    
    SatEvo prediction:
    Express 3A Proton platform                       166 x 160 km
    1 26380U 00031C   00176.74619599  .18367712  24873+0  11619-2 0 90041
    2 26380  51.6136 284.9189 0004517  86.9844 273.0673 16.41062748   120
    Express 3A Proton platform                       159 x 154 km
    1 26380U 00031C   00176.80704208  .24528304  48656+0  10220-2 0 90045
    2 26380  51.6129 284.5737 0003979  87.2423 272.8032 16.43630904   139
    Express 3A Proton platform                       149 x 144 km
    1 26380U 00031C   00176.86777456  .39370816  14677+1  73932-3 0 90042
    2 26380  51.6119 284.2276 0003227  87.5009 272.5360 16.47345892   147
    Express 3A Proton platform                       125 x 123 km
    1 26380U 00031C   00176.92831006 1.53325448  26852+2  71449-3 0 90049
    2 26380  51.6100 283.8800 0001684  87.7607 272.2585 16.55774956   159
    
    Note: This is in the same orbital plane as, but slightly lower than,
    the Proton rocket. Like Harro Zimmer and SpaceCom, I put this decay
    on a southbound pass over the Pacific, to the SW of the Hawaiian Is.
    Earlier that orbit, it crosses the equator heading northwards at 
    22:17 UTC near Nairobi, Kenya,
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
     Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707:  55d53m48.7s N  3d11m51.2s W   156m asl
     Edinburgh   | Tel: +44 (0)131 477 9144     Fax: +44 (0)870 0520750
     Scotland    | SatEvo page:   http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    
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    This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Sat Jun 24 2000 - 11:54:31 PDT