SatEvo decay list #101 (issued 2000 June 24) This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is posted to the satellite observers mailing list, SeeSat-L, and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe. Information about SeeSat-L is available at http://www.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html In most cases, the "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate their decay by 2000 August 15, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers are included beyond that date. This and other recent decay lists are available on the WWW via my SatEvo page at http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/ Linked from this page are files containing recent elsets for all the Iridium satellites, all the objects in this decay list, plus elsets for other selected objects including Mir, ISS, the Shuttle and all newly launched and/or catalogued objects. I also maintain a large file, satbase.tle, containing recent elsets for more than 8,300 satellites. This is available in zipped form from the same address. I publish my own and SpaceCom's updated predictions for the larger decayers during their final days on my Decay Watch page at http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/ This includes my predicted elsets for these objects. # Designation Name ----- Decay (2000) ----- Predicted Actual? 24998 94- 29 ADF STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 2.0 26240 99- 57 EE CBERS LM4 deb June 2.8 13576 78- 26 FP Landsat 3 Delta 1 deb June 6.2 23782 96- 7 B NSTAR 2 Ariane 44LP+3 r June 7.43 4624 70- 91 D Cosmos 375 deb June 9.0 23858 96- 27 B SAX Centaur r June 9.25 24377 94- 29 QE STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 10.3 4985 70- 25 HF Thorad Agena D deb June 10 4006 61- 15 JL Transit 4A deb June 11 14411 68- 91 CM Cosmos 249 deb June 11.5 24093 94- 29 EQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 13.0 10860 78- 45 A Cosmos 1005 June 14.90 22507 92- 93 GS Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb June 16.1 11629 79- 99 A Cosmos 1145 June 16.53 3566 68- 97 S Cosmos 252 deb June 18.4 23502 95- 8 B Cosmos 2306 r June 18.69 24771 97- 16 D Thaicom 3 Spelda June 19.46 16934 86- 68 A Molniya 1-68 June 20.54 26367 00- 26 C Simsat 1 Rokot r June 21.45 24147 94- 29 GW STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 22.4 Note 1 25939 79-104 M CAT 1 Ariane 1 deb June 23? Note 1 26380 00- 31 C Express 3a Proton plat June 24 Note 3 8092 72- 58 DT Landsat 1 Delta 1 deb June 25.1 24982 94- 29 ACQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 25.2 17206 86- 19 BJ SPOT 1 r deb June 25.5 24175 94- 29 JA STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 26 26379 00- 31 B Express 3A Proton r June 26 Note 3 11268 79- 12 A Cosmos 1077 June 26.8 20339 89- 94 B Molniya 3-36 r June 27? 26254 99- 57 EQ CBERS LM4 deb June 29 24262 94- 29 MM STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 1 14555 81- 53 JN Cosmos 1275 deb July 2 1721 65- 82 CC OV2-1/LCS2 deb July 3 21025 90-112 F Raduga 26 aux motor July 3 22402 92- 93 CT Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb July 8 26324 99- 57 HH CBERS LM4 deb July 8 Note 2 17256 81- 58 E Cosmos 1278 deb July 11 Note 2 23209 94- 50 G Cosmos 2287 aux motor July 11 24216 94- 29 KP STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 12 20698 90- 61 F Cosmos 2085 aux motor July 15 24085 94- 29 EG STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 15 7874 72- 58 AW Landsat 1 Delta 1 deb July 18 9530 74- 94 E Skynet 2B Delta 1 r2 July 19 22542 92- 93 HC Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb July 20 15786 64- 6 G Elektron 1 deb July 24 26357 00- 24 B USA 149 Titan 4 r July 29 19390 87- 20 BW Cosmos 1823 deb August 1 25123 97- 85 A Early Bird August 3 18208 86- 19 RF SPOT 1 r deb August 4 23050 94- 21 H Cosmos 2275 aux motor August 4 24878 97- 35 C GPS 2R-2 r2 (PAM-D) August 6 25739 99- 26 E Terriers adapter cone August 10 21538 91- 46 E Gorizont 32 aux motor August 15 24321 96- 56 C GPS 2-27 Delta 2 r2 August 16 13967 83- 25 D Molniya 1-57 r2 August 26 20399 89-101 E Cosmos 2054 aux mot August 26 26361 00- 25 B GPS 2R-4 Delta 2 r1 August 28 23941 96- 37 B TOMS r September 26 10362 77- 91 A Cosmos 955 September 29 14693 84- 11 E Palapa B2 r October 21829 91- 87 F Raduga 28 aux motor October 23049 94- 21 G Cosmos 2275 aux motor October 23210 94- 50 H Cosmos 2287 aux motor October 23549 95- 18 A Ofeq 3 October 23954 96- 41 B GPS 2-26 Delta 2 r1 October 25310 98- 23 E Globalstar 6 Delta r October 25390 98- 42 B Tubsat N1 October 25737 99- 26 C Terriers Pegasus stg3 October 25995 99- 68 B Terra Centaur r October 23501 95- 8 A Cosmos 2306 November 25032 97- 67 C GPS 2-28 Delta 2 r2 November 25234 98- 12 B Teledesic 1 November 25547 98- 68 B Bonum Delta 2 r November 25124 97- 85 B Early Bird r December 25470 98- 51 D Iridium 79 2001 January 25529 98- 66 C Iridium 85 2001 February Notes 1. SpaceCom has yet to confirm this decay. 2. No recent elsets. 3. #26379 and #26380, the Express 3A Proton r and platform, were launched only hours ago - the decay predictions are uncertain. Alan -- Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl Edinburgh | Tel: +44 (0)131 477 9144 Fax: +44 (0)870 0520750 Scotland | SatEvo page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/ ----------------------------------------------------------------- Unsubscribe from SeeSat-L by sending a message with 'unsubscribe' in the SUBJECT to SeeSat-L-request@lists.satellite.eu.org http://www2.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html
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