--------------------------------------------------------------------- Object: #16686 = 86- 31 D = Molniya 3-28 r2 Decay predictions: Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude UTC UTC deg deg SpaceCom Jun 17 01:00 Jun 23 16:44 +-4d 46.6 S 44.7 W SpaceCom Jun 20 05:29 Jun 24 05:35 +-2d 27.7 S 139.1 E SpaceCom Jun 21 01:35 Jun 24 05:27 +-2d 56.8 S 102.6 E SpaceCom Jun 21 08:42 Jun 24 05:17 +-2d 60.9 S 53.9 E SpaceCom Jun 22 16:51 Jun 24 07:40 +-1d 47.4 S 88.3 E SpaceCom Jun 23 05:19 Jun 24 05:39 +-15h 60.2 S 84.8 E SpaceCom Jun 23 05:19 Jun 24 05:39 +-15h 60.2 S 84.8 E SpaceCom Jun 23 21:52 Jun 24 05:55 +-5h 56.8 S 95.8 E SatEvo Jun 17 19:35 Jun 24 00:00 +-2d SatEvo Jun 20 17:30 Jun 24 09:52 +-1.3d SatEvo Jun 21 20:20 Jun 24 05:27 +-18h SatEvo Jun 22 19:55 Jun 24 05:31 +-11h SatEvo Jun 23 18:40 Jun 24 07:34 +-5h 61.3 S 22.8 E SatEvo Jun 24 19:15 Jun 27 20:00 +-? SatEvo Jun 25 22:30 Jun 28 11:55 +-20h Latest elset (5 min late against an extension of yesterday's prediction): Moln 3-28 r2 1322 x 91 km 1 16686U 86031D 99176.89180503 .17696179 59931-5 23006-3 0 5258 2 16686 61.7382 145.6511 0869186 261.9405 88.2415 14.55921401 85355 SatEvo prediction: Moln 3-28 r2 1287 x 89 km 1 16686U 86031D 99177.02890344 .19824490 15674-1 23660-3 0 95253 2 16686 61.7363 145.1945 0847253 261.9989 88.3125 14.61638886 85378 Moln 3-28 r2 1216 x 89 km 1 16686U 86031D 99177.30161481 .21227200 18685-1 23789-3 0 95253 2 16686 61.7319 144.2752 0801483 262.1167 88.7200 14.72822826 85415 Note: SpaceCom is still in a state of shock over this decayer and has not dared to make another prediction. Some of us are not so timid :) The perigee height given by elsets over the past day has been 90-91 km, though it is unclear whether the continued increase has been real or a correction after earlier incorrect values. Well done to Daniel Deak for his obs of last night. --------------------------------------------------------------------- Alan -- Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl Edinburgh | Tel: +44 (0)131 477 9144 Fax: +44 (0)870 0520750 Scotland | SatEvo page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/