SatEvo decay list #79

Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Tue, 22 Jun 1999 22:55:22 +0100

SatEvo decay list #79  (issued 1999 June 22)

This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses 
is posted to the satellite observers mailing list, SeeSat-L,
and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe.
Information about SeeSat-L is available at
   http://www.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html

The "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published
orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects
are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate their decay by
1999 July 31, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers 
are included beyond that date.

This and other recent decay lists are available on the WWW via 
my SatEvo page at
               http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Linked from this page are files containing recent elsets for all
the Iridium satellites, all the objects in this decay list, plus
elsets for other selected objects including Mir, ISS, the Shuttle, 
and all newly launched and/or catalogued objects.


   #    Designation    Name              ----- Decay (1999) -----
                                            Predicted   Actual?

 24162   94- 29 HM  STEP-2 Pegasus deb                 June  7
 23186   94- 43 B   APStar 1 CZ-3 r                    June  8.15
 25690   86- 17 ND  Mir deb                            June  8
 25185   87- 68 L   Meteor 2-16 deb                    June 10
 25716   89-100 BM  C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb               June 11
 25701   89-100 AW  C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb               June 12
 25700   89-100 AV  C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb               June 14  Note 1
  4120   69- 84 B   Meteor 1-2 r                       June 15.01
 24203   94- 29 KE  STEP-2 Pegasus deb                 June 15
 25784   99- 32 H   Iridium 14A S/D deb                June 15  Note 1
 25782   99- 32 F   Iridium 14A S/D deb                June 15
 25781   99- 32 E   Iridium 14A S/D deb                June 16
 25783   99- 32 G   Iridium 14A S/D deb                June 16  Note 1
 25718   89-100 BP  C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb               June 17  Note 1
 25787   99- 33 C   Astra 1H Proton platform           June 18.71
 21521   75- 52 GS  Nimbus 6 Delta 1 deb               June 19  Note 1
 25786   99- 33 B   Astra 1H Proton r                  June 20.05
 24088   94- 29 EK  STEP-2 Pegasus deb                 June 21  Note 1
 12280   78- 26 DZ  Landsat 3 Delta deb       June 22
 23558   86- 17 JE  GFZ 1                     June 23.0
 23690   86- 17 JM  Mir deb                   June 23
 16686   86- 31 D   Molniya 3-28 r2           June 24.2
 24609   94- 29 ZM  STEP-2 Pegasus deb        June 24
 24589   94- 29 YR  STEP-2 Pegasus deb        June 25
 22948   83- 75 AM  Cosmos 1484 deb           June 26
 25710   89-100 BF  C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb      June 26
 24490   94- 29 UP  STEP-2 Pegasus deb        June 27
 24248   94- 29 LX  STEP-2 Pegasus deb        June 29
 25687   86- 17 NA  Mir deb                   June 30
 25711   89-100 BG  C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb      June 30
 25719   89-100 BQ  C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb      July  1
 25670   99- 17 B   DSP 19 Titan 4 r          July  2
 21073   90-105 S   DMSP F10 deb              July  3
 12133   81-  2 A   Molniya 3-14              July  4
 22902   83- 75 U   Cosmos 1484 deb           July  5
 24173   94- 29 HY  STEP-2 Pegasus deb        July  5
 24193   94- 29 JU  STEP-2 Pegasus deb        July  6
 23997   94- 29 AS  STEP-2 Pegasus deb        July  7
 24096   94- 29 ET  STEP-2 Pegasus deb        July  7
 23540   83- 75 BD  Cosmos 1484 deb           July  8
 24003   94- 29 AY  STEP-2 Pegasus deb        July 10
 25704   89-100 AZ  C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb      July 10
 14168   83- 65 C   Galaxy 1 PAM D r          July 14
 19173   64-  6 S   Elektron 1 deb            July 14
 25198   87- 68 Z   Meteor 2-16 deb           July 14
 25703   89-100 AY  C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb      July 14
 25779   99- 32 C   Iridium 14A CSL02 r       July 15
 25686   86- 17 MZ  Mir deb                   July 16
 17323   86- 19 DF  Spot 1 Ariane 1 deb       July 18
 19454   77- 65 FZ  Himawari 1 Delta deb      July 20
 24001   94- 29 AW  STEP-2 Pegasus deb        July 22
 20227   87- 20 DM  Cosmos 1823 deb           July 23
 24488   94- 29 UM  STEP-2 Pegasus deb        July 23
 17041   86- 79 D   Molniya 3-30 r2           July 25
 14448   71- 15 CS  Cosmos 397 deb            July 29
 23311   85-118 W   C 1710 Proton deb         July 29
 25202   87- 68 AD  Meteor 2-16 deb           July 31
 25685   99- 21 A   Sputnik 99              August  4
 25780   99- 32 D   Iridium 14A CSL02 S/D   August  4
 25625   99-  4 E   Glblstar 36 Soyuz r1    August  7
 22878   93- 68 B   GPS 2-23 Delta r1    September 29
  4222   69- 97 B   AZUR Scout r           October
 15076   84- 63 E   Raduga 15 aux motor    October
 25500   98- 25 F   C 2350 aux motor       October
 25653   99- 12 E   Glblstar 22 Soyuz r1   October
 24744   97- 10 A   Zeya                  November
 24972   97- 57 B   IRS-1D r              November
 25550   98- 69 B   SAC-A                 November
 22016   92- 39 C   Navstar 26 Del 2 r2   December
 24832   97- 28 E   C 2344 SOZ ullage r   December
 25518   98- 63 D   Afristar mini-spelda  December
  1844   65-106 B   Cosmos 100 r          2000 Jan - Feb
 22702   93- 42 C   GPS 2-21 Delta r2     2000 Jan - Feb
 24291   96- 50 A   Microsat              2000 Jan - Feb
 25014   97- 63 B   STEP M4 Pegasus r     2000 Jan - Feb
 25551   98- 69 C   MightySat             2000 Jan - Feb
 25680   99- 19 E   Glblstar 19 Soyuz r1  2000 Jan - Feb
  7969   75- 56 B   Cosmos 744 r          2000 Mar - Apr
 16609   86- 17 A   Mir                   2000 Mar - Apr
 22564   93- 15 B   UFO 1 r1              2000 Mar - Apr
 25176   98- 11 B   COMETS H2 r           2000 Mar - Apr


Note

1. SpaceCom has yet to confirm this decay.


Alan
-- 
 Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707:  55d53m48.7s N  3d11m51.2s W   156m asl
 Edinburgh   | Tel: +44 (0)131 477 9144     Fax: +44 (0)870 0520750
 Scotland    | SatEvo page:   http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/