Decay watch: June 21
Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Mon, 21 Jun 1999 21:25:30 +0100
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Object: #23558 = 86- 17 JE = GFZ 1
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Jun 17 00:38 Jun 23 13:22 +-4d 47.6 S 5.3 W
SpaceCom Jun 19 15:53 Jun 23 15:21 +-2d 14.9 N 96.6 E
SpaceCom Jun 20 18:00 Jun 23 13:52 +-2d 10.0 N 115.1 E
SpaceCom Jun 21 17:40 Jun 23 14:14 +-1d 50.7 N 152.9 W
SatEvo Jun 17 19:30 Jun 23 18:00 +-1.3d
SatEvo Jun 20 17:15 Jun 23 16:44 +-16h
SatEvo Jun 21 20:00 Jun 23 15:59 +-10h
Latest elset (4 sec early against yesterday's SatEvo prediction):
GFZ 1 0.3 0.0 0.0 11.0 d 171 x 163 km
1 23558U 86017JE 99172.63179073 .01997902 12402-4 14988-3 0 7664
2 23558 51.6203 237.1146 0005984 313.6858 46.5052 16.39688872763057
SatEvo prediction:
GFZ 1 0.3 0.0 0.0 11.0 d 166 x 159 km
1 23558U 86017JE 99173.05815230 .02137160 33521-2 13019-3 0 97662
2 23558 51.6198 234.7021 0005521 315.4876 44.4680 16.41335198763127
GFZ 1 0.3 0.0 0.0 11.0 d 159 x 153 km
1 23558U 86017JE 99173.54487647 .02810111 63720-2 11190-3 0 97669
2 23558 51.6191 231.9402 0004891 317.5504 42.4117 16.43708449763209
GFZ 1 0.3 0.0 0.0 11.0 d 150 x 145 km
1 23558U 86017JE 99174.03077339 .04333987 17930-1 84928-4 0 97661
2 23558 51.6182 229.1720 0004043 319.6181 40.3518 16.47055783763284
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Object: #16686 = 86- 31 D = Molniya 3-28 r2
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Jun 17 01:00 Jun 23 16:44 +-4d 46.6 S 44.7 W
SpaceCom Jun 20 05:29 Jun 24 05:35 +-2d 27.7 S 139.1 E
SpaceCom Jun 21 01:35 Jun 24 05:27 +-2d 56.8 S 102.6 E
SpaceCom Jun 21 08:42 Jun 24 05:17 +-2d 60.9 S 53.9 E
SatEvo Jun 17 19:35 Jun 24 00:00 +-2d
SatEvo Jun 20 17:30 Jun 24 09:52 +-1.3d
SatEvo Jun 21 20:20 Jun 24 05:27 +-18h
Latest elset (2.4 min early against yesterday's prediction):
Moln 3-28 r2 5607 x 74 km
1 16686U 86031D 99172.53723083 .48627173 51928-5 64730-3 0 4822
2 16686 61.7562 156.9742 3000784 260.4311 298.0500 9.80879132 84798
SatEvo prediction:
Moln 3-28 r2 5119 x 80 km
1 16686U 86031D 99172.87258896 .60000212 58205-1 10429-2 0 94822
2 16686 61.7555 156.4303 2806617 260.4999 67.0749 10.20658145 84837
Moln 3-28 r2 4569 x 80 km
1 16686U 86031D 99173.25619958 .67593316 75078-1 10746-2 0 94823
2 16686 61.7548 155.7592 2579017 260.5848 69.6443 10.69479771 84878
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Alan
--
Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl
Edinburgh | Tel: +44 (0)131 477 9144 Fax: +44 (0)870 0520750
Scotland | SatEvo page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/