--------------------------------------------------------------------- Object: #4120 = 69- 84 B = Meteor 1-2 Vostok r Decay predictions: Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude UTC UTC deg deg SpaceCom Jun 11 00:05 Jun 15 00:31 +-2d 6.8 N 0.5 E SpaceCom Jun 12 00:20 Jun 15 00:34 +-2d 1.4 S 1.2 E SpaceCom Jun 12 23:34 Jun 14 20:45 +-1d 31.9 S 127.1 W SpaceCom Jun 14 01:05 Jun 15 00:45 +-14h 49.4 S 8.4 E SpaceCom Jun 14 12:04 Jun 15 00:33 +-8h 2.3 N 0.8 E SpaceCom Jun 14 17:55 Jun 15 00:24 +-5h 37.9 N 3.5 W SpaceCom Jun 14 22:02 Jun 15 00:21 +-3h 51.4 N 7.0 W SpaceCom Jun 15 04:52 Jun 15 00:19 +-54m 58.2 N 9.8 W SatEvo Jun 9 21:45 Jun 14 07:36 +-1d SatEvo Jun 10 21:30 Jun 14 10:34 +-19h SatEvo Jun 11 18:45 Jun 14 19:24 +-15h SatEvo Jun 12 17:00 Jun 14 19:23 +-11h SatEvo Jun 13 19:00 Jun 14 20:18 +-5h 43.6 S 72.8 E SatEvo Jun 14 18:00 Jun 15 00:30 +-2h 0.0 1.0 E SatEvo Jun 14 18:25 Jun 14 23:46 +-90m 0.0 168.0 W SatEvo Jun 15 06:35 Jun 15 00:15 +-60m 59.8 N 10.6 W Final elset (0.9 sec late on yesterday's prediction): Meteor 1-2 r 3.8 2.6 0.0 5.1 v 152 x 139 km 1 04120U 69084B 99165.80881039 .13920145 -97032-6 22827-3 0 8098 2 04120 81.2048 91.6726 0010336 250.0401 109.9695 16.47618648625753 Note: A good agreement between SpaceCom and SatEvo in the end. The predicted decay occurred just before it passed to the W of Scotland and S across Ireland; though the event might have been visible from here, cloud intervened and I saw nothing. My predicted elset for the final equator crossing: Meteor 1-2 r 3.8 2.6 0.0 5.1 v 117 x 111 km 1 04120U 69084B 99165.99053399 1.07336993 20566+2 34368-3 0 98098 2 04120 81.2009 91.4153 0004477 249.2973 110.6547 16.59662890625784 --------------------------------------------------------------------- Alan -- Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl Edinburgh | Tel: +44 (0)131 477 9144 Fax: +44 (0)870 0520750 Scotland | SatEvo page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/