SV: GRANAT decay so soon?

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GRANAT decay so soon?


> 
> 
> >Granat                                           203238 x 211 km
> >1 20352U 89096A   99141.75000000  .00000000  00000-0  00000-0 0  9158
> >2 20352  48.7873 283.4465 9390426  21.8293 352.6408  0.24428860 11724
> 
> 
> With an apogee of 203238 km, it this object really going to decay so
> quickly?
> 
I thought you knew - there was a posting on the subject a few weeks ago.

The perigee was forced down by a few hundred km per orbit (usual gravitational disturbances).
NPOE predicted the perigee on May 30 to 78 km, I believe -
INT2 had some 200 km and predicted decay on June 3.

Judging by the orbit above, and the lack of newer elsets, it could have decayed May 25.


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