Decay update: #23583 = 95- 20 C

Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Fri, 21 Jun 1996 23:44:32 +0100

Object #23583 = 95- 20 C (Progress-M 27 deb) is predicted to decay at
about June 24.9 according to my latest SatEvo analysis.

The latest elset from OIG is:
95- 20 C
1 23583U 95020C   96173.64385266  .01179896  11822-4  62005-3 0  3992
2 23583  51.6175  60.4677 0009803 238.6424 121.4758 16.19312302591233

An orbital evolution through the latest 10 elsets over 4.5 days 
agrees with max error of 3 seconds and leads to the following
predicted elements:
95- 20 C
1 23583U 95020C   96174.01390970  .01620638  14888-2  76373-3 0 93992
2 23583  51.6172  58.4339 0009236 240.1616 119.7465 16.20653934591295
95- 20 C 
1 23583U 95020C   96175.06090938  .02315007  33049-2  78738-3 0 93998
2 23583  51.6160  52.6592 0007399 244.4756 115.4478 16.24677842591463
95- 20 C
1 23583U 95020C   96176.04339156  .04210401  12571-1  83515-3 0 93994
2 23583  51.6143  47.2024 0005105 248.5525 111.3930 16.30678315591625
95- 20 C
1 23583U 95020C   96176.83765689  .24779908  68116+0  96627-3 0 93991
2 23583  51.6104  42.7386 0001697 251.8880 108.0935 16.44172239591757

Alan
-- 
 Alan Pickup | COSPAR site 2707:  55d53m48.7s N   3d11m51.2s W  156m asl
 Edinburgh   | Home:    alan@wingar.demon.co.uk      +44 (0)131 477 9144
 Scotland    | Royal Observatory: A.Pickup@roe.ac.uk +44 (0)131 668 8224