SatEvo decay list #7

Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Sat, 8 Jun 1996 22:10:43 +0100

SatEvo decay list #7  (issued 1996 June 8)

Here are my updated SatEvo decay predictions. The "Actual?" 
decay times are estimated from the final available elements.

   #    Designation    Name             ------ Decay ------
                                        Predicted   Actual?

 23684   95- 54 E   SL-12 R aux motor               May   20.2
 23882   96- 34 C   SL-12 R platform                May   26.1
 13786   83-  6 B   N-2 R1                          May   27.05
 23459   94- 87 E   SL-12 R aux motor               May   27.15
 23881   96- 34 B   SL-12 R                         May   28.4
 18978   63- 14 DR  West Ford Needles deb           May   31.1
  2950   63- 14 AT  West Ford Needles deb           June   3.8
 23660   95- 45 E   SL-12 R aux motor (see note)    June   6.55
 23889   86- 17 KH  GFZ 1 deb           June  12.2
 20042   89- 41 C   Ariane 44L R        June  13.0
 23462   95-  1 B   Atlas 2AS Cent R    June  20
 23583   95- 20 C   Progress-M 27 deb   June  25
 23508   95-  8 D   Cosmos 2306 deb     June  30
 23024   94- 14 F   SL-14 deb           July   7
 11762   80- 28 E   SL-6 R2             July   8
 23557   86- 17 JD  GFZ 1 deb           July  14
 18277   71-  3 C   SL-3 deb            July  28


Note 1: NASA are predicting the decay of #22854 = 89- 89 AR (COBE deb)
      for July 23. However, the latest element available from OIG 
      for this object is almost 2 years old.

Note 2: Unusually (uniquely?) the final OIG element for this object
      has an ndot (MMDOT) value greater than the usual ceiling of
     .99999999:
95- 45 E   
1 23660U 95045E   96158.42074275 1.21383099  00000-0  10453-2 0  3467
2 23660  46.6362 148.8828 0585089 133.0928 232.1131 15.25369515 10158

Alan
-- 
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