Elsets + decay of #22709

From: Bjorn Gimle <Bjorn_Gimle_at_lector.kth.se>
Date: Tue, 6 Jun 1995 14:30:25 -0400
There has been a long weekend without updated elsets at OIG.
Here is the latest I have for the decaying bright Cosmos:

EORSAT=22709, OIG
1 22709U 93044A   95153.90996141  .01039594  71186-5  60271-3 0  4175
2 22709  65.0224 220.5975 0055300 243.5851 115.9838 16.14700326108309

I will try to post newer elset and decay prediction tonight and also
Wednesday, which still looks like the final day.

Indeed, it looks like the fine pass at about 21:44 UT on June 7
over Central Europe may be its last orbit. It should pass from
the French-Italian border in shadow up to the German-Polish-Csech
border, where it may exit from shadow, and head for Moscow.

Tonight, Tuesday June 6, the corresponding pass will be only about
100 km West of tomorrow's track, at about 22:18 UT and 240 km altitude,
so it will exit from shadow a bit earlier.

The next orbit at about 23:47 UT will be beautiful over Ireland and
Edinburgh and Northern Finland.

Of course, if it is in the process of decaying, it may be also visible
from North Africa-Spain-France-Italy-Switzerland !

Try looking for my next posting, and/or get your own elsets from OIG.
You may also try using the following, very approximate, elset for the
evening of June 7 UT, in case it is on its final orbits then :

EORSAT=22709, NPOE
1 22709U 93044A   95158.83769810  .05039594  71186-4  60271-3 0  4176
2 22709  65.0215 202.0454 0008671 288.6170  71.2888 16.44700326108301

Be prepared to accept a prediction error of 4-20 minutes, depending on
which elset is used !

=========================================================
Bjorn_gimle@lector.kth.se == bjorn.gimle@duesenberg.se ==
== bjorn.gimle@online.dextel.se ;  59.22371 N, 18.22857 E
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Received on Tue Jun 06 1995 - 15:27:52 UTC

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