RE: MUOS 5 brightness variation

From: Ted Molczan via Seesat-l <seesat-l_at_satobs.org>
Date: Thu, 7 Jul 2016 13:17:43 -0400
Marco Langbroek's finding of a 5 min. period of variation of brightness of MUOS 5 in GTO reminded me AEHF 1's similar
behavior in GTO. 

Analysis of data derived from a video by Kevin Fetter revealed a period of variation of 301.1 s. Assuming rotational
symmetry of order 2, then AEHF 1's period of rotation was 10 min., for a rate of 0.1 RPM. This was consistent with the
known initial rate of rotation of some other payloads built on the same bus, Lockheed Martin's A-2100. Details here:

http://satobs.org/seesat/Aug-2010/0385.html

Subsequent observations by Derek Breit and Brad Young confirmed AEHF 1's period of variation.

Applying the same method of analysis to Marco's MUOS 5 observations yields a nearly identical result:

Maximum          Time (UTC)
   0       2016 Jul 04 23:40:45
   1       2016 Jul 04 23:45:50
   2       2016 Jul 04 23:51:00
   6       2016 Jul 05 00:10:55
   9       2016 Jul 05 00:25:55
  10       2016 Jul 05 00:30:40
  11       2016 Jul 05 00:35:55
  12       2016 Jul 05 00:40:30
  13       2016 Jul 05 00:45:55
	
Slope = 299.55 s
Intercept = 23:40:53 UTC
rē = 0.999962

The near-unity coefficient of determination of the linear regression confirms the reliability of the slope and
intercept, with the caveat that the sample is small, and the numbering of maxima 6 and 9 are based on my assumption that
the period of variation was about 300 s.

MUOS also is built on the A-2100 bus; therefore, its 0.1 RPM rate of rotation in GTO is not surprising, but it is good
to know.  

Ted Molczan



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Received on Thu Jul 07 2016 - 12:25:37 UTC

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