USA 186 search elements

From: Ted Molczan (ssl3molcz@rogers.com)
Date: Sat Jul 17 2010 - 15:41:43 UTC

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    Pierre Neirinck has found 2 sets of stars that may be the three that he observed. I found one set,
    which happens to agree with one of Pierre's.
    
    Here are Pierre's reductions of the set that I found:
    
    0504201256310071421442651  01   12132536  +135418  40 4             +6         S
    0504201256310071421445771  01   12124812  +231230  30 4
    0504201256310071421452157  01   12121530  +291764  20 4             +65        S
    
    Here are search elements based on what I judge to be the most probable reboost times on July 14:
    
    10:01:13 UTC                                            256 X 1008 km
    1 70005U          10195.89717915  .00007070  00000-0  63791-4 0    02
    2 70005  97.9067 259.0424 0536400 324.2020  32.4312 14.78207443    04
    
    11:38:40 UTC                                            256 X 1010 km
    1 70006U          10195.89717772  .00007024  00000-0  63791-4 0    03
    2 70006  97.9067 259.0424 0537500 324.2020  32.4243 14.77856915    03
    
    13:15:56 UTC                                            256 X 1013 km
    1 70007U          10195.89717652  .00007034  00000-0  63791-4 0    02
    2 70007  97.9067 259.0424 0539900 324.2020  32.4091 14.77362836    05
    
    14:53:13 UTC                                            256 X 1018 km
    1 70008U          10195.89717430  .00007010  00000-0  63791-4 0    01
    2 70008  97.9067 259.0424 0543000 324.2020  32.3896 14.76633459    05
    
    Tonight, it could arrive a few minutes earlier than elset 70005 and a few minutes later than 70008,
    but I suspect it will be close to 70006.
    
    Happy hunting!
    
    Ted Molczan
    
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