Decay Forecast Update #2 C 2367

From: Harro Zimmer (Harro.Zimmer@t-online.de)
Date: Fri Jul 19 2002 - 10:59:00 EDT

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Report time: 14:15 UTC

1999-072A (#26040) Cosmos 2367

SPACECOM'S 12 HOURS DEFORE DECAY REPORT - prepared, July 19,
12:42 UTC- predicts:
20 July, 01:01 UTC +/- 08 hours (63.4°N, 66.4°E)
ascending over Northern Russia.

MPM+REENTRY delivers with the ELSETs 02200.232...-02200.538...
(SFX 185, ap 010) the decay on
20 July, 00:51 UTC +/- 33 minutes (35.05°N, 19.59°E)
also northbound over the Mediterranian Sea.

It looks now like a predictable decay behaviour without any
unexpected "jumps". But this ocean reconnaissance satellite has
some large appendages (e.g. side looking radar)and it is possible
after some rupture during low orbit passages  we will see a decrease of
the cross section and in consequence a later decay.

Harro

Harro.Zimmer@t-online.de
Berlin, Germany

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