After a few days away, I have updated my Decay Watch page with the final
notices for the following five objects. Check the page for more details.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #26642 = 00- 81 E = Astra 2D Ariane 5 deb (Sylda)
Final analyses:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Jun 29 16:20 Jun 29 16:03 +-7m 2.4 S 113.4 E
SatEvo Jul 1 21:35 Jun 29 16:21 +-1h 0.4 S 170.4 E
Final elset:
Astra 2D Ariane 5 deb (Sylda) 451 x 126 km
1 26642U 00081E 02180.48413814 .79799861 -34458-4 27942-2 0 8342
2 26642 2.1359 344.3035 0243763 343.8211 298.4817 15.94832003 23853
Note: I put the decay near a northbound crossing of the equator over
the Pacific to the N of New Zealand. My predicted elset for the start
of that rev is:
Astra 2D Ariane 5 deb (Sylda) 308 x 124 km
1 26642U 00081E 02180.62163613 1.50486368 50671+1 34284-2 0 98348
2 26642 2.1356 343.1098 0139025 346.2060 13.4179 16.21285018 23877
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #26885 = 01- 34 B = Genesis Delta 2 rocket
Final analyses:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Jul 1 21:51 Jul 1 00:03 +-1m 15.2 S 132.7 E
SatEvo Jul 1 22:00 Jun 30 23:52 +-1h 2.5 S 107.0 E
Final elset:
Genesis Del2 r 7.0 2.0 0.0 5.5 d 16 211 x 127 km
1 26885U 01034B 02181.84446759 .23570141 -10841-4 39274-3 0 6915
2 26885 26.7896 200.0590 0063849 139.3860 235.4832 16.38910612 42241
Note: I show this decaying southbound near the equator close to
Singapore, Malaysia. My prediction for the start of the final rev
runs:
Genesis Del2 r 7.0 2.0 0.0 5.5 d 16 162 x 116 km
1 26885U 01034B 02181.96338525 .80112119 60987+1 51650-3 0 96911
2 26885 26.7878 199.0862 0035526 141.0122 219.2444 16.50144375 42262
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #27381 = 02- 7 B = Intelsat 904 Ariane 44L rocket
Final analyses:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Jul 1 11:17 Jul 1 08:44 +-7m 4.0 N 9.0 E
SatEvo Jul 2 20:00 Ju1 1 08:27 +-1h 6.8 N 56.0 W
Final elset:
Intelsat 904 Ariane 44L r 782 x 108 km
1 27381U 02007B 02182.12605747 .99999999 -29992-4 34266-2 0 2562
2 27381 6.9913 278.0166 0493894 134.1377 83.7289 15.40557736 6044
Note: I have this decaying near the N coast of South America, to the
E of Venezuela on the orbit following this SatEvo-predicted rev:
Intelsat 904 Ariane 44L r 411 x 107 km
1 27381U 02007B 02182.27889420 4.07737661 20567+2 47839-2 0 92563
2 27381 6.9890 276.7717 0229350 136.5997 225.2288 16.05596492 6061
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #27425 = 02- 22 B = Aqua Delta 2 rocket
Final analyses:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Jul 2 10:32 Jul 2 08:56 +-7m 79.0 N 30.0 E
SatEvo Jul 2 20:20 Jul 2 08:48 +-20m 47.5 N 63.0 E
Final elset:
Aqua Del2 r 7.0 2.0 0.0 5.5 d 10 148 x 121 km
1 27425U 02022B 02183.29826622 .36203422 27719-5 26538-3 0 1630
2 27425 97.3204 123.1147 0021282 47.4151 312.9022 16.51867959 9233
Note: I estimate that this decayed northbound over Kazakhstan on
the orbit following the one given by the above elset.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #27455 = 02- 33 B = Progress M-46 Soyuz rocket
Final analyses:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Jun 28 03:09 Jun 28 02:22 +-7m 38.9 S 94.4 W
SatEvo Jul 1 21:45 Jun 28 02:10 +-1h 0.0 130.7 W
Final elset:
Progress M-46 Soyuz r 158 x 150 km
1 27455U 02033B 02178.87815112 .10404317 12481-4 33230-3 0 133
2 27455 51.6034 358.9794 0006608 112.2581 247.9168 16.44472606 275
Note: I estimate that this decayed near a southbound equator crossing
over the eastern Pacific on the orbit following this SatEvo-predicted
rev:
Progress M-46 Soyuz r 138 x 133 km
1 27455U 02033B 02178.99943323 .50484636 37730+1 44413-3 0 90132
2 27455 51.6016 358.2859 0004095 112.7766 247.2666 16.51489447 295
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55.8968N 3.1989W +208m (WGS84 datum)
Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
*
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Unsubscribe from SeeSat-L by sending a message with 'unsubscribe'
in the SUBJECT to SeeSat-L-request@lists.satellite.eu.org
http://www.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html
This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Tue Jul 02 2002 - 16:53:07 EDT