Decay Forecast Molniya RB 2

From: Harro Zimmer (Harro.Zimmer@t-online.de)
Date: Wed Jul 18 2001 - 07:02:45 PDT

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Report time 13:45 UTC

1986-068D (#16939) MOLNIYA 1-68 RB 2

This is an extremly difficult predictable object...
SPACECOM'S  1 DAYS BEFORE DECAY message - prepared July 18, 10:50 UTC - shows 
the decay on       19 July, 07:36 UTC +/- 13 hours (38.9°S, 203.0°E)
on a northbound over the Pacific.

MPM + REENTRY delivers with the ELSET'S 01199.290... -  01199.423... the decay 
on                 19 July, 07:40 UTC +/- ´90 minutes (26.10°S, 211.50°E)
on the same pass also over the Pacific.
This pass will cross about 15 minutes later the United States. But let us
wait a couple of hours for a more stable decay phase and so on for reliable 
ELSET'S. 

Harro

Harro.Zimmer@t-online.de
Berlin, Germany  

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