Very stormy geomagnetic conditions prevail, and these could intensify further following yesterdays solar flare (the strongest of this solar cycle) and CME. This makes decay-predicting even more uncertain than usual. More details of the following decayers, including predicted elsets, are on my Decay Watch page at http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/ #9530 = 74- 94 E = Skynet 2B Delta 1 r2 Current decay estimates: SpaceCom: Jul 18 04:47 +-2d 3.8 N 131.7 W SatEvo: Jul 18 07:06 +-21h Latest elset: Skynet 2B Dlt 1 r2 385 x 178 km 1 09530U 74094E 00197.47419623 .04030793 -13100-4 20613-2 0 5259 2 09530 24.3028 248.5050 0155968 168.9317 191.4679 15.97464743 41980 _____________________________________________________________________ #20698 = 90- 61 F = Cosmos 2085 aux motor Current decay estimates: SpaceCom: Jul 16 06:43 +-15h 4.8 S 96.6 W SatEvo: Jul 16 12:32 +-11h 25.0 N 142.9 E Latest elset (already 10+hours old): C 2085 aux motor 791 x 113 km 1 20698U 90061F 00197.25674769 .18818034 88872-5 46218-3 0 5221 2 20698 46.5476 118.9114 0496768 113.4296 33.6946 15.38006480127972 The latest elset has this 116 sec early against yesterday's prediction. My decay prediction puts re-entry over the E Pacific, to the SE of Japan, on the following predicted orbit: C 2085 aux motor 216 x 96 km 1 20698U 90061F 00198.49808677 1.83555197 10361+2 83539-3 0 95226 2 20698 46.5183 111.7928 0091452 120.4977 240.4084 16.43814217128172 _____________________________________________________________________ #26401 = 00- 37 B = Zvezda Proton-K r Current decay estimates: SpaceCom: Jul 17 23:23 +-2d 39.2 N 176.9 W SatEvo: Jul 18 07:29 +-19h Latest elset: Zvezda Proton-K r 257 x 166 km 1 26401U 00037B 00197.59939862 .02704634 11974-4 58398-3 0 226 2 26401 51.6063 355.3167 0068829 97.3034 263.5815 16.23052962 551 Alan -- Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl Edinburgh | Tel: +44 (0)131 477 9144 Fax: +44 (0)870 0520750 Scotland | SatEvo page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/ ----------------------------------------------------------------- Unsubscribe from SeeSat-L by sending a message with 'unsubscribe' in the SUBJECT to SeeSat-L-request@lists.satellite.eu.org http://www2.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html
This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Sat Jul 15 2000 - 10:25:55 PDT