SatEvo decay list #102 (issued 2000 July 8) This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is posted to the satellite observers mailing list, SeeSat-L, and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe. Information about SeeSat-L is available at http://www.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html In most cases, the "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate their decay by 2000 August 31, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers are included beyond that date. This and other recent decay lists are available on the WWW via my SatEvo page at http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/ Linked from this page are files containing recent elsets for all the Iridium satellites, all the objects in this decay list, plus elsets for other selected objects including Mir, ISS, the Shuttle and all newly launched and/or catalogued objects. I also maintain a large file, satbase.tle, containing recent elsets for more than 8,300 satellites. This is available in zipped form from the same address. I publish my own and SpaceCom's updated predictions for the larger decayers during their final days on my Decay Watch page at http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/ This includes my predicted elsets for these objects. # Designation Name ----- Decay (2000) ----- Predicted Actual? 24982 94- 29 ACQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 24.7 8092 72- 58 DT Landsat 1 Delta 1 deb June 24.8 26380 00- 31 C Express 3a Proton platform June 25.02 17206 86- 19 BJ SPOT 1 r deb June 25.2 24175 94- 29 JA STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 25.6 26379 00- 31 B Express 3A Proton r June 26.21 11268 79- 12 A Cosmos 1077 June 26.66 26254 99- 57 EQ CBERS LM4 deb June 28 14555 81- 53 JN Cosmos 1275 deb July 1.3 1721 65- 82 CC OV2-1/LCS2 deb July 1.5 26392 00- 35 C Sirius 1 Proton platform July 1 24262 94- 29 MM STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 1.6 26391 00- 35 B Sirius 1 Proton r July 1.64 Note 2 21025 90-112 F Raduga 26 aux motor July 2.22 Note 3 20339 89- 94 B Molniya 3-36 r July 4.13 26396 00- 36 C Cosmos 2371 Proton platform July 5.87 17256 81- 58 E Cosmos 1278 deb July 6.52 Note 1 26395 00- 36 B Cosmos 2371 Proton r July 7.54 22402 92- 93 CT Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb July 9 23209 94- 50 G Cosmos 2287 aux motor July 10 24216 94- 29 KP STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 10 24085 94- 29 EG STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 12 7874 72- 58 AW Landsat 1 Delta 1 deb July 14 20698 90- 61 F Cosmos 2085 aux motor July 15 22542 92- 93 HC Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb July 15 2363 63- 14 N Westford Needles July 19 9530 74- 94 E Skynet 2B Delta 1 r2 July 19 24878 97- 35 C GPS 2R-2 r2 (PAM-D) July 26 19390 87- 20 BW Cosmos 1823 deb July 27 26357 00- 24 B USA 149 Titan 4 r July 29 25123 97- 85 A Early Bird July 31 18208 86- 19 RF SPOT 1 r deb August 1 23050 94- 21 H Cosmos 2275 aux motor August 2 15786 64- 6 G Elektron 1 deb August 3 25739 99- 26 E Terriers adapter cone August 6 24321 96- 56 C GPS 2-27 Delta 2 r2 August 9 20869 90- 81 AH FY-1B CZ deb August 13 21538 91- 46 E Gorizont 32 aux motor August 13 24043 94- 29 CQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb August 13 26364 86- 17 NP Mir deb August 15 24348 94- 29 NZ STEP-2 Pegasus deb August 17 24189 94- 29 JQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb August 22 20399 89-101 E Cosmos 2054 aux motor August 24 23291 85-118 N Cosmos 1710 Proton deb August 24 13967 83- 25 D Molniya 1-57 r2 August 25 26361 00- 25 B GPS 2R-4 Delta 2 r1 August 26 10362 77- 91 A Cosmos 955 September 20 25995 99- 68 B Terra Centaur r September 20 21829 91- 87 F Raduga 28 aux motor September 28 25310 98- 23 E Globalstar 6 Delta r October 2 23941 96- 37 B TOMS r October 3 23210 94- 50 H Cosmos 2287 aux motor October 7 25737 99- 26 C Terriers Pegasus stg3 October 8 25547 98- 68 B Bonum Delta 2 r October 11 14693 84- 11 E Palapa B2 r October 12 23049 94- 21 G Cosmos 2275 aux motor October 16 23954 96- 41 B GPS 2-26 Delta 2 r1 October 23 12547 81- 58 A Cosmos 1278 November 23501 95- 8 A Cosmos 2306 November 23549 95- 18 A Ofeq 3 November 25031 97- 67 B GPS II r November 25234 98- 12 B Teledesic 1 November 25390 98- 42 B Tubsat N1 November 25032 97- 67 C GPS 2-28 Delta 2 r2 December 25069 97- 75 C JCSat-5 Ariane 44P r December 25124 97- 85 B Early Bird r 2001 January 25470 98- 51 D Iridium 79 2001 February 25529 98- 66 C Iridium 85 2001 March Notes 1. SpaceCom has yet to confirm this decay. 2. The re-entry of #26391, the Sirius 1 Proton rocket, was observed to the south of Perth, Western Australia. 3. There were many observations of the re-entry of #21025, the Raduga 26 auxilliary motor, as it re-entered over California, to the south of San Francisco. Alan -- Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl Edinburgh | Tel: +44 (0)131 477 9144 Fax: +44 (0)870 0520750 Scotland | SatEvo page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/ ----------------------------------------------------------------- Unsubscribe from SeeSat-L by sending a message with 'unsubscribe' in the SUBJECT to SeeSat-L-request@lists.satellite.eu.org http://www2.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html
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