#17256 = 81- 58 E = Cosmos 1278 deb
The later SpaceCom decay warnings for this are yet to appear.
Decay estimates are:
SpaceCom: Jul 6 11:00 +-3h 50.6 S 73.5 W
SatEvo: Jul 6 12:27 +-90m 41.9 S 108.7 W
Final elset:
Cosmos 1278 deb E 895 x 92 km
1 17256U 81058E 00188.41380666 .99999999 -27872-5 23462-2 0 8378
2 17256 62.6262 155.7237 0583920 199.3818 158.6619 15.24117909101077
he final elset shows it running 65 sec late on my previous
prediction. I show the decay occurring southbound over the SE Pacific
on the orbit with the following SatEvo-predicted elset:
Cosmos 1278 deb E 657 x 85 km
1 17256U 81058E 00188.47858421 3.65289723 85765+1 23984-2 0 98373
2 17256 62.6142 155.4864 0423411 199.3966 158.9424 15.65838331101081
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#23209 = 94- 50 G = Cosmos 2287 aux motor
Just added to SpaceCom's decay warnings list. Decay estimates:
SpaceCom: Jul 10 20:48 +-2d 62.3 S 94.0 E
SatEvo: Jul 10 20:32 +-1d
Latest elset:
C 2287 aux motor 1945 x 105 km
1 23209U 94050G 00189.10774445 .17463755 12034-4 53362-3 0 4533
2 23209 64.0373 54.5803 1242735 205.8574 147.4541 13.63049364 95527
Predictions on my Decay Watch page at:
http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
#26395 = 00- 36 B = Cosmos 2371 Proton r
Decay estimates:
SpaceCom: Jul 7 13:58 +-8h 27.0 S 16.6 W
SatEvo: Jul 7 12:30 +-3h 34.1 S 13.4 E
Latest elset:
Cosmos 2371 Proton r 163 x 154 km
1 26395U 00036B 00188.99801067 .05453759 12507-4 26061-3 0 212
2 26395 51.6180 277.4990 0006852 290.5642 69.6601 16.42716558 334
SatEvo prediction:
Cosmos 2371 Proton r 151 x 144 km
1 26395U 00036B 00189.24099964 .11005474 11309+0 21797-3 0 90214
2 26395 51.6169 276.1158 0005460 291.5975 68.3444 16.46863084 373
Cosmos 2371 Proton r 147 x 141 km
1 26395U 00036B 00189.30165209 .13565280 17911+0 20408-3 0 90218
2 26395 51.6165 275.7691 0004967 291.8565 68.0907 16.48341326 389
Cosmos 2371 Proton r 142 x 136 km
1 26395U 00036B 00189.36224356 .17891769 32274+0 19407-3 0 90217
2 26395 51.6160 275.4220 0004361 292.1158 67.8379 16.50221159 394
Cosmos 2371 Proton r 134 x 130 km
1 26395U 00036B 00189.42275427 .26777550 72204+0 19063-3 0 90215
2 26395 51.6153 275.0742 0003557 292.3756 67.5866 16.52849242 404
Cosmos 2371 Proton r 122 x 119 km
1 26395U 00036B 00189.48314387 .49595792 29647+1 19217-3 0 90216
2 26395 51.6142 274.7254 0002384 292.6362 67.3385 16.57101243 411
The latest elset shows it running only 0.4 sec late on the prediction I
posted two days ago. I see this decaying southbound just to the W of
Capetown, S Africa.
___________________________________________
#26396 = 00- 36 C = Cosmos 2371 Proton platform
I've not had a chance to close the book on this. The final analyses are:
SpaceCom: Jul 5 21:14 +-1h 51.7 N 47.9 W
SatEvo: Jul 5 20:47 +-1h 0.0 134.5 W
Final elset:
Cosmos 2371 Proton platform 145 x 143 km
1 26396U 00036C 00187.77560284 .52523154 12634-4 86935-3 0 116
2 26396 51.6024 284.3771 0001141 27.6342 332.4747 16.48176078 131
The final elset shows it running 15.5 sec late on my final prediction. I
now place decay on a southbound pass near the equator over the E
Pacific. My prediction for the final elset:
Cosmos 2371 Proton platform 126 x 125 km
1 26396U 00036C 00187.83610095 .95807486 14537+2 47785-3 0 90119
2 26396 51.6005 284.0293 0000949 27.8942 332.1109 16.55315614 148
Alan
--
Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl
Edinburgh | Tel: +44 (0)131 477 9144 Fax: +44 (0)870 0520750
Scotland | SatEvo page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Fri Jul 07 2000 - 07:57:33 PDT