Decay watch: July 17
Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Sat, 17 Jul 1999 20:13:04 +0100
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Object: #14168 = 83- 65 C = Galaxy 1 PAM D r
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Jul 13 00:06 Jul 16 23:48 +-2d 10.0 S 1.5 E
SpaceCom Jul 14 01:48 Jul 16 20:11 +-2d 2.6 S 92.4 W
SpaceCom Jul 15 02:27 Jul 17 01:31 +-1d 10.8 N 25.9 E
SpaceCom Jul 16 11:52 Jul 16 23:54 +-15h 2.7 S 18.1 E
SpaceCom Jul 16 17:47 Jul 16 23:58 +-15h 3.6 N 30.0 E
SpaceCom Jul 16 23:26 Jul 16 23:58 +-15h 4.0 N 32.8 E
SpaceCom Jul 17 00:46 Jul 16 23:58 +-15h 4.0 N 32.8 E
SatEvo Jul 13 19:35 Jul 17 03:03 +-1d
SatEvo Jul 14 18:30 Jul 17 06:01 +-1d
SatEvo Jul 15 19:45 Jul 17 07:30 +-1d
SatEvo Jul 16 18:45 Jul 17 03:03 +-9h 19.9 N 32.1 E
Final elset, for the same rev as the one I posted here yesterday:
Galaxy 1 r (PAM D) 3.39 411 x 156 km
1 14168U 83065C 99196.88166399 .08465079 -14336-4 20205-2 0 1541
2 14168 23.0290 324.8936 0191673 42.7443 318.7701 15.96835524299560
Note: I presume that SpaceCom lost this more than a day before
it re-entered.
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Object: #25849 = 99- 36 C = Molniya 3-50 platform
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Jul 17 02:50 Jul 21 02:51 +-3d 62.3 S 125.4 E
SatEvo Jul 14 18:40 Jul 20 08:08 +-1.5d
SatEvo Jul 15 20:00 Jul 20 17:19 +-1.3d
SatEvo Jul 16 19:00 Jul 20 11:24 +-20h
SatEvo Jul 17 18:55 Jul 21 03:41 +-20h
Latest elset (23 sec late against yesterday's prediction):
Moln 3-50 plat 3.0 2.0 0.0 6.0 d 6 310 x 174 km
1 25849U 99036C 99198.50077136 .02216647 82538-5 83602-3 0 330
2 25849 62.8016 331.6235 0102692 122.9521 238.1558 16.11867548 1468
SatEvo prediction:
Moln 3-50 plat 3.0 2.0 0.0 6.0 d 6 298 x 171 km
1 25849U 99036C 99199.05864035 .02511102 19135-2 82147-3 0 90339
2 25849 62.8007 329.3892 0096229 123.0611 237.8666 16.14483629 1554
Moln 3-50 plat 3.0 2.0 0.0 6.0 d 6 287 x 168 km
1 25849U 99036C 99199.55373082 .02844090 26280-2 79837-3 0 90337
2 25849 62.7998 327.3987 0090044 123.1584 237.7086 16.17126306 1637
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Object: #25859 = 99- 38 B = Progress M-42 Soyuz-U r
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Jul 17 05:13 Jul 19 03:58 +-1d 2.5 S 6.4 E
SatEvo Jul 17 19:00 Jul 19 04:37 +-12h
Latest elset:
ProgM42 Soyuz r 6.0 3.0 0.0 5.0 d 15 211 x 184 km
1 25859U 99038B 99198.42222466 .02798004 12096-4 65883-3 0 66
2 25859 51.6427 189.3742 0020620 87.7178 272.6206 16.28234759 123
SatEvo prediction:
ProgM42 Soyuz r 6.0 3.0 0.0 5.0 d 15 197 x 174 km
1 25859U 99038B 99199.03512865 .04263381 97977-2 65735-3 0 90060
2 25859 51.6414 185.9575 0017625 90.2657 269.9363 16.32680375 225
ProgM42 Soyuz r 6.0 3.0 0.0 5.0 d 15 190 x 169 km
1 25859U 99038B 99199.27978177 .05150366 14905-1 62844-3 0 90064
2 25859 51.6408 184.5869 0016159 91.2878 268.8973 16.34968023 266
ProgM42 Soyuz r 6.0 3.0 0.0 5.0 d 15 181 x 162 km
1 25859U 99038B 99199.52405421 .06601068 24283-1 59064-3 0 90060
2 25859 51.6399 183.2135 0014418 92.3121 267.8530 16.37805731 308
ProgM42 Soyuz r 6.0 3.0 0.0 5.0 d 15 170 x 154 km
1 25859U 99038B 99199.76784058 .09093307 49501-1 47775-3 0 90062
2 25859 51.6389 181.8364 0012268 93.3392 266.8011 16.41558637 349
ProgM42 Soyuz r 6.0 3.0 0.0 5.0 d 15 152 x 140 km
1 25859U 99038B 99200.01093836 .17572222 24543+0 28599-3 0 90067
2 25859 51.6373 180.4541 0009161 94.3703 265.7343 16.47509827 382
Note: This orbits close to Mir's orbital plane but, of course, is much
lower. It enters eclipse near northern apex (its most northerly point)
at about 22:00 local time and exits eclipse while southbound near
17 deg S at about 06:00 local time.
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Alan
--
Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl
Edinburgh | Tel: +44 (0)131 477 9144 Fax: +44 (0)870 0520750
Scotland | SatEvo page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/