Decay watch: July 15

Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Thu, 15 Jul 1999 21:03:02 +0100

---------------------------------------------------------------------
Object: #14168 = 83- 65 C = Galaxy 1 PAM D r

Decay predictions:
Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
               UTC                UTC                  deg      deg

SpaceCom   Jul 13 00:06     Jul 16 23:48 +-2d        10.0 S     1.5 E
SpaceCom   Jul 14 01:48     Jul 16 20:11 +-2d         2.6 S    92.4 W
SpaceCom   Jul 15 02:27     Jul 17 01:31 +-1d        10.8 N    25.9 E

SatEvo     Jul 13 19:35     Jul 17 03:03 +-1d
SatEvo     Jul 14 18:30     Jul 17 06:01 +-1d
SatEvo     Jul 15 19:45     Jul 17 07:30 +-1d

Latest elset (2.5 sec late against yesterday's prediction, 
but already 16 hours old):
Galaxy 1 r (PAM D)                    3.39       500 x 137 km
1 14168U 83065C   99196.12898183  .07315775  00000-0  54462-3 0  1458
2 14168  23.0407 330.7756 0270706  36.1427 325.7619 15.84230354299574

SatEvo prediction:
Galaxy 1 r (PAM D)                    3.39       419 x 134 km
1 14168U 83065C   99197.00658933  .10111063  14863-1  52161-3 0 91457
2 14168  23.0384 323.9061 0213998  48.2141 313.5949 15.99349578299710
Galaxy 1 r (PAM D)                    3.39       359 x 131 km
1 14168U 83065C   99197.50384721  .13334877  31827-1  49683-3 0 91450
2 14168  23.0366 319.9385 0171986  55.1864 306.4200 16.10806236299795
Galaxy 1 r (PAM D)                    3.39       258 x 124 km
1 14168U 83065C   99198.05807843  .26153652  19547+0  47740-3 0 91455
2 14168  23.0337 315.4219 0102148  63.1234 297.9171 16.30575489299880
---------------------------------------------------------------------
Object: #25849 = 99- 36 C = Molniya 3-50 platform

Decay predictions:
Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
               UTC                UTC                  deg      deg

SatEvo     Jul 14 18:40     Jul 20 08:08 +-1.5d
SatEvo     Jul 15 20:00     Jul 20 17:19 +-1.3d

Latest elset (14 sec late against yesterday's prediction):
Moln 3-50 plat   3.0  2.0  0.0  6.0 d    6       354 x 176 km
1 25849U 99036C   99196.44811259  .01694372  00000-0  80903-3 0   247
2 25849  62.7993 339.7795 0133636 124.3093 237.1671 16.03408515  1149

SatEvo prediction:
Moln 3-50 plat   3.0  2.0  0.0  6.0 d    6       344 x 174 km
1 25849U 99036C   99197.00895675  .01997755  94868-3  86605-3 0 90247
2 25849  62.7986 337.5606 0127490 124.4180 236.7937 16.05631000  1236
Moln 3-50 plat   3.0  2.0  0.0  6.0 d    6       334 x 173 km
1 25849U 99036C   99197.50686060  .02155055  11688-2  85264-3 0 90246
2 25849  62.7979 335.5846 0121735 124.5148 236.6404 16.07695934  1318
---------------------------------------------------------------------

Alan
-- 
 Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707:  55d53m48.7s N  3d11m51.2s W   156m asl
 Edinburgh   | Tel: +44 (0)131 477 9144     Fax: +44 (0)870 0520750
 Scotland    | SatEvo page:   http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/