Decay watch: July 14

Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Wed, 14 Jul 1999 19:56:10 +0100

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Object: #14168 = 83- 65 C = Galaxy 1 PAM D r

Decay predictions:
Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
               UTC                UTC                  deg      deg

SpaceCom   Jul 13 00:06     Jul 16 23:48 +-2d        10.0 S     1.5 E
SpaceCom   Jul 14 01:48     Jul 16 20:11 +-2d         2.6 S    92.4 W

SatEvo     Jul 13 19:35     Jul 17 03:03 +-1d
SatEvo     Jul 14 18:30     Jul 17 06:01 +-1d

Latest elset (13 sec late against yesterday's prediction):
Galaxy 1 r (PAM D)                    3.39       524 x 150 km
1 14168U 83065C   99195.68722635  .06085341 -13703-4  12995-2 0  1428
2 14168  23.0733 334.1985 0278357  29.4318 332.1550 15.77746441299377

SatEvo prediction:
Galaxy 1 r (PAM D)                    3.39       499 x 148 km
1 14168U 83065C   99196.00291067  .07232305  63025-2  12661-2 0 91428
2 14168  23.0726 331.7681 0262018  33.7010 327.9379 15.82373642299421
Galaxy 1 r (PAM D)                    3.39       458 x 146 km
1 14168U 83065C   99196.50607542  .08398424  94651-2  11452-2 0 91424
2 14168  23.0714 327.8604 0233140  40.5651 321.1493 15.90198464299508
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Object: #25849 = 99- 36 C = Molniya 3-50 platform

Decay predictions:
Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
               UTC                UTC                  deg      deg

SatEvo     Jul 14 18:40     Jul 20 08:08 +-1.5d

Latest elset:
Moln 3-50 plat   3.0  2.0  0.0  6.0 d    6       371 x 181 km
1 25849U 99036C   99195.26167856  .01691761  80341-5  98750-3 0   275
2 25849  62.8058 344.4543 0142927 123.8885 237.5939 15.99447171   945

SatEvo prediction:
Moln 3-50 plat   3.0  2.0  0.0  6.0 d    6       359 x 179 km
1 25849U 99036C   99196.01125421  .01867645  80362-3  97500-3 0 90279
2 25849  62.8049 341.5054 0135297 124.0315 237.2604 16.02139826  1063
Moln 3-50 plat   3.0  2.0  0.0  6.0 d    6       340 x 175 km
1 25849U 99036C   99197.00865359  .02149986  11473-2  94843-3 0 90275
2 25849  62.8036 337.5626 0124054 124.2230 236.9585 16.06128907  1220

Note: Eclipse entry is near 50 deg S latitude at about 18h local time, 
while southbound. It leaves eclipse moving northwards near 15 deg N 
at about 04:30 local time. The associated Molniya r1 (#25848 = 99- 36 B)
should decay about two days later.
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Alan
-- 
 Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707:  55d53m48.7s N  3d11m51.2s W   156m asl
 Edinburgh   | Tel: +44 (0)131 477 9144     Fax: +44 (0)870 0520750
 Scotland    | SatEvo page:   http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/