SatEvo decay list #80

Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Tue, 6 Jul 1999 22:22:44 +0100

SatEvo decay list #80  (issued 1999 July 6)

This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses 
is posted to the satellite observers mailing list, SeeSat-L,
and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe.
Information about SeeSat-L is available at
   http://www.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html

The "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published
orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects
are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate their decay by
1999 August 15, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers 
are included beyond that date.

This and other recent decay lists are available on the WWW via 
my SatEvo page at
               http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Linked from this page are files containing recent elsets for all
the Iridium satellites, all the objects in this decay list, plus
elsets for other selected objects including Mir, ISS, the Shuttle, 
and all newly launched and/or catalogued objects.


   #    Designation    Name              ----- Decay (1999) -----
                                            Predicted   Actual?

 12280   78- 26 DZ  Landsat 3 Delta deb                June 22
 23558   86- 17 JE  GFZ 1                              June 23.09
 23690   86- 17 JM  Mir deb                            June 23
 24609   94- 29 ZM  STEP-2 Pegasus deb                 June 24
 22948   83- 75 AM  Cosmos 1484 deb                    June 25
 24589   94- 29 YR  STEP-2 Pegasus deb                 June 25
 25710   89-100 BF  C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb               June 26
 24490   94- 29 UP  STEP-2 Pegasus deb                 June 27
 16686   86- 31 D   Molniya 3-28 r2                    June 28.44
 24248   94- 29 LX  STEP-2 Pegasus deb                 June 28
 25687   86- 17 NA  Mir deb                            June 28
 25794   80- 89 CH  Cosmos 1220 deb                    June 28
 21073   90-105 S   DMSP F10 deb                       July  1
 25711   89-100 BG  C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb               July  1 Note 2
 25719   89-100 BQ  C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb               July  1 Note 2
 25670   99- 17 B   DSP 19 Titan 4 r                   July  2.07
 24173   94- 29 HY  STEP-2 Pegasus deb                 July  3
 12133   81-  2 A   Molniya 3-14                       July  3.69
 22902   83- 75 U   Cosmos 1484 deb                    July  4
 24193   94- 29 JU  STEP-2 Pegasus deb                 July  4 Note 2
 25704   89-100 AZ  C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb               July  5 Notes 1,2
 24096   94- 29 ET  STEP-2 Pegasus deb        July  6
 25703   89-100 AY  C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb      July  7
 20227   87- 20 DM  Cosmos 1823 deb           July  9
 23540   83- 75 BD  Cosmos 1484 deb           July  9
 23997   94- 29 AS  STEP-2 Pegasus deb        July 10
 24003   94- 29 AY  STEP-2 Pegasus deb        July 10
 25198   87- 68 Z   Meteor 2-16 deb           July 11
 25686   86- 17 MZ  Mir deb                   July 11
 24215   94- 29 KN  STEP-2 Pegasus deb        July 13
 25779   99- 32 C   Iridium 14A CSL02 r       July 14
 17323   86- 19 DF  Spot 1 Ariane 1 deb       July 15
 19173   64-  6 S   Elektron 1 deb            July 15
 24488   94- 29 UM  STEP-2 Pegasus deb        July 16
 24001   94- 29 AW  STEP-2 Pegasus deb        July 18
 14168   83- 65 C   Galaxy 1 PAM D r          July 19
 25820   98- 42 F   Tubsat N SSN-23 deb       July 20
 19454   77- 65 FZ  Himawari 1 Delta deb      July 22
 25780   99- 32 D   Iridium 14A CSL02 S/D     July 22
 17041   86- 79 D   Molniya 3-30 r2           July 25
 14448   71- 15 CS  Cosmos 397 deb            July 24
 24374   94- 29 QB  STEP-2 Pegasus deb      August  1
 25202   87- 68 AD  Meteor 2-16 deb         August  1
 25685   99- 15 C   Sputnik 99              August  1
 24582   94- 29 YJ  STEP-2 Pegasus deb      August  3
 18547   70- 25 PP  Nimbus 4 Agena deb      August  4
 24145   94- 29 GU  STEP-2 Pegasus deb      August  5
 25792   99- 35 B   FUSE Delta 2 r          August  6
 22935   83- 75 Y   Cosmos 1484 deb         August  8
 25819   94- 27 C   SROSS ASLV-D4 deb       August  9
 23311   85-118 W   C 1710 Proton deb       August 10
 25625   99-  4 E   Glblstar 36 Soyuz r1    August 12
 25216   87- 68 AT  Meteor 2-16 deb         August 14
 25714   89-100 AY  C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb    August 14
 25846   99- 67 D   ISS deb                 August 18
 25653   99- 12 E   Glblstar 22 Soyuz r1 September  1
 25518   98- 63 D   Afristar mini-spelda September 18
 22878   93- 68 B   GPS 2-23 Delta r1    September 30
  4222   69- 97 B   AZUR Scout r           October
 15076   84- 63 E   Raduga 15 aux motor   November
 22016   92- 39 C   GPS 2-14 Delta r2     November
 24744   97- 10 A   Zeya                  November
 24832   97- 28 E   C 2344 SOZ ullage r   November
 24972   97- 57 B   IRS-1D r              November
 25500   98- 25 F   C 2350 aux motor      November
 25550   98- 69 B   SAC-A                 November
 25680   99- 19 E   Glblstar 19 Soyuz r1  November
  1844   65-106 B   Cosmos 100 r          2000 January
 22702   93- 42 C   GPS 2-21 Delta r2     2000 January
 24291   96- 50 A   Microsat              2000 January
 25014   97- 63 B   STEP M4 Pegasus r     2000 January
 25551   98- 69 C   MightySat             2000 January
 25790   99- 34 B   QuikScat Titan 2 r    2000 January
 16609   86- 17 A   Mir                   2000 February
 22564   93- 15 B   UFO 1 r1              2000 February
  7969   75- 56 B   Cosmos 744 r          2000 Mar - Apr
 25176   98- 11 B   COMETS H2 r           2000 Mar - Apr


Notes

1. No recent elsets.

2. SpaceCom has yet to confirm this decay.


Alan
-- 
 Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707:  55d53m48.7s N  3d11m51.2s W   156m asl
 Edinburgh   | Tel: +44 (0)131 477 9144     Fax: +44 (0)870 0520750
 Scotland    | SatEvo page:   http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/