Decays today?
Bjoern Gimle (b_gimle@algonet.se)
Fri, 25 Jul 1997 17:15:21 +0200
I regret that missed alerting SeeSatters on the decay of the SL-6 rocket
#24454, with excellent visibility near perigee (where decay is most likely)
at about 35N latitude. Yesterday's elset indicated decay Jul.26.16, with
ndot adjusted to 0.677 as indicated by recent elsets.
Checking at OIG now this elset, and two more recent are:
Element set number = 4
1 24454U 96058E 97206.26630648 .86764603 13967-4 19739-2 0 3025
2 24454 46.7445 155.6282 1267808 122.9226 245.4422 13.59211944 8635
Element set number = 5
1 24454U 96058E 97206.11915460 .99999999 69295-5 39029-2 0 3007
2 24454 46.7263 156.2238 1362092 121.8855 252.4311 13.35634712 8617
Element set number = 2
1 24454U 96058E 97205.96816371 .66386391 15186-4 16985-2 0 2992
2 24454 46.7478 156.8490 1476714 121.9176 253.6277 13.10644962 8597
The latest elset is about 40 seconds early wrt. my old SatEvo evolution:
Element set number = 4 1101 x 98 km
1 24454U 96058E 97206.82986336 1.63907164 11002+1 26146-2 0 93025
2 24454 46.6987 153.0676 0718359 125.4434 241.4739 14.89490842 8710
Element set number = 4 957 x 98 km
1 24454U 96058E 97206.89624599 1.90637854 17320+1 27935-2 0 93024
2 24454 46.6904 152.7273 0621374 125.7788 240.1579 15.12906707 8721
Element set number = 4 792 x 98 km
1 24454U 96058E 97206.96150218 2.35285644 31357+1 30825-2 0 93028
2 24454 46.6834 152.3803 0508052 126.1210 238.6879 15.40393075 8735
Element set number = 4 583 x 98 km
1 24454U 96058E 97207.02540016 3.52006932 12562+2 37666-2 0 93024
2 24454 46.6708 152.0251 0360625 126.4714 236.9056 15.76529508 8743
It should be visible over southern Europe soon, and may possibly
survive to be seen over the US tonight. I'll try to improve the
forecasts.
Cosmos 2313 debris #24858 should have decayed around Jul.24.84
visible over Europe (and Australia??) on its last orbit, but
#24856 should decay tonight around Jul.25.88 Unfortunately, the
elset is old, and unreliable:
24856
1 24856U 95028F 97203.53944074 .02499269 36092-2 87298-2 0 288
2 24856 65.0871 250.2121 0081794 128.9227 231.8530 15.84391736 3830
Element set number = 1
1 24853U 95028C 97206.26287723 .01497789 10724-2 40186-2 0 462
2 24853 64.8535 237.6705 0071716 117.8145 243.0365 15.89860270 4513
24855
1 24855U 95028E 97204.53756249 .00132242 10545-4 94570-3 0 207
2 24855 64.8807 246.2040 0207896 127.9123 234.0671 15.49943724 3996
24857
1 24857U 95028G 97205.17614574 .00107392 92012-5 72296-3 0 269
2 24857 64.9004 243.5302 0194758 125.6236 236.2809 15.53575148 4096
24858
1 24858U 95028H 97205.13414133 .07720241 71909-5 40028-2 0 311
2 24858 64.9060 239.7813 0022775 132.7636 227.7426 16.19255195 4163
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-- b_gimle@algonet.se +46-8-7428086 (home) --
-- 59.22371 N, 18.22857 E AND member of : --
-- http://www.algonet.se/~b_gimle SeeSat-L --
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