RE: FW: Space junk destroys $500 million Earth Obse

vince gardiner (vgardi@coffs.net.au)
Tue, 01 Jul 1997 11:40:58 +1000

Using the Cola program it appears that #3938  68- 97BS could be a
contender for the collision with Adeos. Using the below elements, it
appears that #3938 was 1.5km away from Adeos at 19:52:31.9 June 25th UT.
Looking at the list of elements supplied by Jeff Hunt it is noticed that
the inclination of Adeos was constantly changing. I haven't the
expertise
to look more closely into that aspect, but 1.5km is close enough with
the
uncertaincy of the elements to raise my eyebrows a little.
Two other objects had close flybys, these were:-
#15031  Cosmos 1570  09:45:38.8 June 28 UT 3.2km
#21771  91- 41 D     23:37:04.3 June 26 UT 3.9km
Perhaps some-one may like to have a closer look at these objects.
Of course a rock may have been the cause.

ADEOS
1 24277U 96046A   97164.18799003 -.00000044 +00000-0 +00000-0 0 01891
2 24277 098.5981 241.7614 0001678 114.0698 246.0678 14.27646597042796
68097BS
1 03938U 68097BS  97164.15418499  .00000065  00000-0  10000-3 0  6881
2 03938  63.0613 107.6963 1180975 300.4755  48.4814 12.30328305250048
Cosmos 1570
1 15031U 84056A   97164.12675914 -.00000020 +00000-0 +21891-5 0 01772
2 15031 074.0640 114.5732 0013394 310.1556 049.8405 14.29558241678784
91041D
1 21711U 91041D   97162.83346947 +.00000244 +00000-0 +10106-3 0 09593
2 21711 074.0237 318.2634 0016014 146.4537 213.7616 14.31800731312938

Regards,
Vince Gardiner.   vgardi@coffs.net.au
Coffs Harbour N.S.W. Australia
-30.35   +153.082