Phobos Grunt Decay Prediction

From: Harro Zimmer (
Date: Sun Jan 15 2012 - 18:23:00 UTC

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    Report time 17:55 UT
    2011-065A  Phobos Grunt (#37872)
    Based on the ELSETs 12015.631..
    and 12015.691... My SP-Program
    delivers the decay on
    15 January,18:02 UT +/- 12 minutes
    ascending over 06.40S,319.8E
    over NE Brazil.
    In comparison with SPACETRACK'S 
    last estimate it looks too late.
    But also the fresh prediction
    from ROSKOSMOS shows a decay
    forecast a few minutes after 
    18:00 UT.
    Harro  Zimmer - Berlin (Germany)   
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