Decay Forecasr Phobos Grunt

From: Harro Zimmer (Harro.Zimmer@t-online.de)
Date: Mon Jan 02 2012 - 09:38:00 UTC

  • Next message: Russell Eberst: "2012JAN1-2.OBS"

    Happy New Year !
    
    Report time 08:15 UT
    
    2011-065A Phobos Grunt (#37872)
    
    My second forecast based on the
    Special Perturbation Theory and the
    ELSETs 11365.194...  - 12002.349...
    (SFX and AP from NOAA Space Weather
    Outlook) deliver the decay on:
    
    15 January 2012, 23:28 UTC +/- 18 hours
    
    This is in good agreement with Ted
    Molczan's last prediction. Based on
    the assumption Cd 2.20 my a/m is
    0.0011658. The difference to Ted's
    result is only 2.3 %.
    
    Harro
    
    Harro Zimmer - Berlin (Germany)
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