Happy New Year everyone :-)
I have updated my Decay Watch page with notices for three recent
decayers (the Express AM-22 Proton and its platform/casing, and a debris
object from the TVSat Ariane rocket) and a notice for the Cosmos 2397
aux motor which SCC has decaying tomorrow (I show January 7). I'd like
to think it was simply a result of disruption to normal services because
of Christmas and the New Year, but only single elsets were published for
each of the two Express decayers, making it impossible for me to do my
usual analyses (though I was also away at the time, too).
I have expanded the page in other respects. The time-ordered list of
recent decays now includes SCC's report of the decay times, taken from
SCC's decay reports or from the decay dates listed in the Satellite
Situation Report and current catalog updates. I have a further new
section that lists my predicted decays for larger objects over the
coming months. I intend to update entries in this section on a more
frequent basis than I was able post my SatEvo decay lists in the past.
Excluding the Cosmos 2397 aux motor, my current predictions read:
# Designation Name Estimated decay Last updated
2004 2004
26632 00- 79 B EROS A1 r Jan 16 Jan 4
22633 93- 25 A Molniya 3-44 Jan 19 Jan 4
22879 93- 68 C GPS 2-23 r2 Jan 21 Jan 4
27829 03- 27 C MER-A Delta 2 r Jan 30 Jan 4
27839 03- 30 B OrbView 3 Pegasus r Feb 23 Jan 4
4393 70- 37 A Meteor 1-4 Mar 21 Jan 4
23332 94- 70 B Astra 1D Ariane r Apr 6 Jan 4
11630 79- 99 B Cosmos 1145 r May Jan 4
24716 97- 2 D GE-2 Ariane Spelda May Jan 4
27701 03- 9 D Meteor 3M-1 Jun Jan 4
23955 96- 41 C GPS 26 PAM r Jul Jan 4
27851 03- 32 C MER-B Delta 2 r Jul Jan 4
Note that most changes to my Decay Watch page are not accompanied by
corresponding messages to the SeeSat-L list.
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55.8968N 3.1989W +208m (WGS84 datum)
Edinburgh / SatEvo Home Page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
*
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
Subscribe/Unsubscribe info, Frequently Asked Questions, SeeSat-L archive:
http://www.satobs.org/seesat/seesatindex.html
This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Sun Jan 04 2004 - 11:22:01 EST