Decay watch: 2003 January 26

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Sun Jan 26 2003 - 14:21:11 EST

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    A summary of the final notice for #18332 from my Decay Watch page.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #18332 = 87- 73 E = Ekran 16 aux motor
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                    UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SCC        Jan 26 13:55     Jan 26 12:23 +-46m        9.8 N    82.5 W
    SatEvo     Jan 26 19:05     Jan 26 12:22 +-3h        16.8 N    76.4 W
    
    Final elset:
    Ekran 16 aux motor                               452 x 121 km
    1 18332U 87073E   03026.14031377  .34731338  13653-4  86308-3 0  2534
    2 18332  46.6779 220.3425 0248882 351.2812   8.3908 15.95703140188303
    
    Note: My fibal analysis shows this decaying soon after the epoch of the
    second of these SatEvo-predicted orbits:
    Ekran 16 aux motor                               267 x 114 km
    1 18332U 87073E   03026.45039067  .95672740  26258+1  11059-2 0 92530
    2 18332  46.6683 218.4820 0116633 353.1169   6.7244 16.30793398188352
    Ekran 16 aux motor                               181 x 109 km
    1 18332U 87073E   03026.51139003 2.49917355  50000+2  15132-2 0 92532
    2 18332  46.6640 218.1017 0054734 353.4923   6.4370 16.47859281188364
    This puts it northbound over the Caribbean Sea, near Jamaica and
    Haiti. Given that the final (so far) elset is for almost nine hours
    earlier, the orbit of decay remains uncertain.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
    Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707:  55.8968N   3.1989W   +208m   (WGS84 datum)
    Edinburgh  / SatEvo Home Page:   http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    Scotland  / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
              *
    
    
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