A summary of today's update to my Decay Watch page.
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Object: #19190 = 88- 44 B = Molniya 3-32 r2
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC Jan 19 07:51 Jan 19 19:50 +-7h 47.7 S 29.2 W
SatEvo Jan 19 15:25 Jan 19 21:23 +-5h 54.0 S 64.7 W
Latest elset:
Molniya 3-32 r2 1022 x 80 km
1 19190U 88044B 03019.57866047 .99999999 65690-5 64925-3 0 4593
2 19190 62.1754 62.3169 0680130 268.5820 83.8529 15.05187120107073
SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
(ends)
Molniya 3-32 r2 591 x 79 km
1 19190U 88044B 03019.83903941 1.93357737 29607+1 86477-3 0 94554
2 19190 62.1242 61.3509 0381041 268.1579 87.4750 15.78369650107119
Molniya 3-32 r2 430 x 78 km
1 19190U 88044B 03019.90208153 2.83402384 88657+1 96602-3 0 94555
2 19190 62.1155 61.0999 0265513 268.1829 88.7747 16.07386617107121
Note: The prediction continues to be very uncertain. I suspect that
this may decay following perigee on the penultimate of the predicted
orbits, in the vicinity of Tierra del Fuego at the S tip of S
America.
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Object: #26746 = 01- 15 B = GSAT-1 GSLV rocket
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC Jan 18 14:56 Jan 18 10:53 +-10h 13.1 S 77.7 E
SatEvo Jan 18 17:05 Jan 18 10:13 +-5h 19.1 N 47.3 W
Final elset:
GSAT-1 GSLV r 1130 x 105 km
1 26746U 01015B 03017.74759259 .57557540 -14255-4 11764-2 0 05
2 26746 18.9901 140.6164 0733061 58.5613 202.9477 14.83814429 24196
Note: I have this decaying near perigee soon after the end of the
following predicted orbit.
GSAT-1 GSLV r 371 x 93 km
1 26746U 01015B 03018.35027150 2.81485443 11945+2 16983-2 0 90008
2 26746 18.9733 136.1292 0210400 66.7963 295.4060 16.15564632 24287
This puts near northern apex, eastbound over the Atlantic between
Puerto Rica and the Cape Verde Islands.
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Object: #26929 = 01- 43 A = Starshine 3
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC Jan 19 13:06 Jan 21 06:37 +-1d 40.1 N 140.0 W
SatEvo Jan 19 15:45 Jan 21 02:41 +-10h 7.2 S 74.8 E
Latest elset:
Starshine 3 0.5 0.0 0.0 9.5 d 0.73 201 x 194 km
1 26929U 01043A 03019.55445255 .03088813 61201-5 80751-3 0 7015
2 26929 67.0157 63.6609 0005938 317.5384 42.5357 16.28212614 74079
SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
Note: I show the decay drifting earlier over recent days.
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55.8968N 3.1989W +208m (WGS84 datum)
Edinburgh / SatEvo Home Page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
*
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Sun Jan 19 2003 - 11:09:52 EST