01/18 Starshine 3 Forecast

From: Harro Zimmer (Harro.Zimmer@t-online.de)
Date: Sat Jan 18 2003 - 13:27:00 EST

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    Report time: 18:00 UTC
    2001-043A (#26929) Starshine 3
     SCC'S predictions show a bizarre behaviour. During the 24 hours
    they have released 6 (!) different forecasts. The last -issued
    via OIG - prepared Jan 18, 09:33 UTC - forecasted the decay on
    21 January, 07:08 UTC +/- 02 days (04.9N,09.1E) descending.
    
    A unpublished (not released via OIG) new prediction delivers:
    21 January, 10:10 UTC +/- 02 days (15.1S, 331.7E)
    it looks somewhat off of track.
    
    My own prediction with MPM+REENTRY (epoch 07:49:55 UTC) shows no
    remarkable fluctuations and delivers;
    21 January, 12:43 UTC +/- 06 hours (66.23N, 178.74E) ascending.
    
    Harro
    
    Harro.Zimmer@t-online.de
    Berlin, Germany
    
    
    
    
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