01/18 Starshine 3 Forecast

From: Harro Zimmer (Harro.Zimmer@t-online.de)
Date: Sat Jan 18 2003 - 13:27:00 EST

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Report time: 18:00 UTC
2001-043A (#26929) Starshine 3
 SCC'S predictions show a bizarre behaviour. During the 24 hours
they have released 6 (!) different forecasts. The last -issued
via OIG - prepared Jan 18, 09:33 UTC - forecasted the decay on
21 January, 07:08 UTC +/- 02 days (04.9°N,09.1°E) descending.

A unpublished (not released via OIG) new prediction delivers:
21 January, 10:10 UTC +/- 02 days (15.1°S, 331.7°E)
it looks somewhat off of track.

My own prediction with MPM+REENTRY (epoch 07:49:55 UTC) shows no
remarkable fluctuations and delivers;
21 January, 12:43 UTC +/- 06 hours (66.23°N, 178.74°E) ascending.

Harro

Harro.Zimmer@t-online.de
Berlin, Germany




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