SCC has posted the first decay notice for Starshine 3. The prediction is
included in this summary from my updated Decay Watch page, where I have
also added the GSAT-1 GSLV rocket. Check the page for more predicted
elsets.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #23878 = 96- 33 B = Galaxy 9 rocket
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC Jan 14 06:04 Jan 17 06:33 +-2d 10.0 S 1114.3 W
SatEvo Jan 14 20:10 Jan 17 04:31 +-18h
Latest elset:
Galaxy 9 r1 5.9 2.4 0.0 5.0 v 12 249 x 202 km
1 23878U 96033B 03014.57736482 .02439918 -11448-4 12164-2 0 6463
2 23878 25.7843 142.5348 0035205 228.6238 131.1266 16.17915269348026
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #26746 = 01- 15 B = GSAT-1 GSLV rocket
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC No prediction at present
SatEvo Jan 14 20:30 Jan 18 19:33 +-2d
Latest elset:
GSAT-1 GSLV r 2913 x 104 km
1 26746U 01015B 03014.57901547 .23243789 -33757-4 82823-3 0 9802
2 26746 19.0231 158.6022 1781019 25.1992 347.7433 12.39654517 23764
Note: The SCC elsets show an unrealistic spread of perigee heights,
though the one suggested by the latest elset is reasonable. This
enters eclipse at a height of around 1600 km a little after southern
apex near 19 deg S at ~21:30 local time. Eclipse exit occurs much
closer to perigee while northbound near 14 deg N before dawn.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #26929 = 01- 43 A = Starshine 3
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC Jan 14 17:31 Jan 22 03:26 +-4d 66.9 N 33.8 W
SatEvo Jan 14 20:20 Jan 20 20:02 +-2d
Latest elset:
Starshine 3 0.5 0.0 0.0 9.5 d 0.73 245 x 234 km
1 26929U 01043A 03014.67422930 .00885246 47691-3 78258-3 0 6732
2 26929 67.0178 80.4976 0007771 332.9237 27.1458 16.12741210 73286
Note: Eclipse entry occurs while northbound near 34 deg S in the
evening, with eclipse exit southbound near 60 deg N before dawn.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #27615 = 02- 59 C = Cosmos 2393 platform
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC Jan 14 13:45 Jan 15 12:23 +-14h 7.3 N 152.8 W
SatEvo Jan 14 20:00 Jan 15 12:51 +-7h 35.4 N 6.1 W
Latest elset:
Cosmos 2393 Pl 3.0 2.0 0.0 5.5 d 6 247 x 156 km
1 27615U 02059C 03014.53384568 .05648955 84759-5 81160-3 0 728
2 27615 62.8134 146.6079 0068432 112.8872 247.9642 16.26707229 3348
SatEvo prediction:
Cosmos 2393 Pl 3.0 2.0 0.0 5.5 d 6 230 x 150 km
1 27615U 02059C 03014.84078702 .07879855 26051-1 61741-3 0 90728
2 27615 62.8121 145.3513 0060511 112.9474 247.6922 16.30937556 3398
Cosmos 2393 Pl 3.0 2.0 0.0 5.5 d 6 217 x 146 km
1 27615U 02059C 03015.02453901 .09740018 44255-1 49978-3 0 90721
2 27615 62.8110 144.5950 0054584 112.9837 247.5929 16.34146205 3425
Cosmos 2393 Pl 3.0 2.0 0.0 5.5 d 6 195 x 137 km
1 27615U 02059C 03015.26888341 .15118606 12529+0 37436-3 0 90729
2 27615 62.8091 143.5829 0044451 113.0324 247.4369 16.39991479 3469
Cosmos 2393 Pl 3.0 2.0 0.0 5.5 d 6 151 x 118 km
1 27615U 02059C 03015.51202287 .47011238 15353+1 30911-3 0 90724
2 27615 62.8057 142.5642 0024606 113.0816 247.1777 16.51867572 3504
Cosmos 2393 Pl 3.0 2.0 0.0 5.5 d 6 120 x 104 km
1 27615U 02059C 03015.57240270 1.29492006 13694+2 34194-3 0 90725
2 27615 62.8037 142.3074 0011709 113.0941 247.0294 16.60464182 3512
Note: Although the uncertainty is still several orbits, I estimate that
this will decay while southbound on the penultimate predicted orbit
above, possibly in daylight in the vicinity of Gibraltar.
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55.8968N 3.1989W +208m (WGS84 datum)
Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
*
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Tue Jan 14 2003 - 15:59:12 EST