Re: RCS VALUES

From: Michael McCants (mmccants@jump.net)
Date: Sat Jan 04 2003 - 11:46:18 EST

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    Phillip Clark wrote:
    
    >Quite a few years ago Nick Johnson had a paper published
    
    Perhaps it might be important to know about how many years ago.
    
    >So, unless the system has improved, the RCS values are very nice to look at
    >but useless in reality !
    
    Since Jay got the RCS values included in the SSR, we now have nearly
    ten years experience with those values.
    
    Some values are clearly quite wrong.
    
    Some special values seem to mean "unknown value" or "default system
    value" and should be ignored.
    
    Values for objects that are usually higher than 10000 miles are
    often much too small or much too large.
    
    Taking the median (not the mean) of the last 50 or 60 values seems to
    produce a median value which is fairly well correlated with the
    observed visual magnitude, but of course the optical reflection
    properties (flashes and large changes in brightnes) cannot be expected
    to always compare to what amounts to an "average" radar reflection
    value.  And, of course, some objects are white, some are black, and
    some are polished, so the RCS only provided a "guideline" as to what
    optical brightness might be expected.
    
    If an object explodes into many pieces, a visual observer would be
    wise to look for the ones with a larger RCS before looking for the
    ones with a smaller RCS.  :-)
    
    Summary:  I have been including the median RCS value in my printed
    visual predictions for many years and I compare my observed magnitudes
    with that median RCS value and I have not found all that many
    "discrepancies" in over 2500 different LEO objects in the last decade.
    
    Mike McCants
    
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