RE: Help with brightness estimate for FedSat

From: Ted Molczan (molczan@rogers.com)
Date: Thu Jan 02 2003 - 18:47:50 EST

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    Paul Floyd requested the maximum visual magnitude of Fedsat (02056B / 27598), a 58 cm cube.
    
    I estimate its standard visual magnitude (1000 km, 90 deg phase angle) is about 9.4:
    
    FEDSAT           0.6  0.6  0.0  9.4 d
    1 27598U 02056B   03001.75242129  .00000149  00000-0  78418-4 0   278
    2 27598  98.6716  75.9434 0009061 317.4563  42.5911 14.27702434  2678
    
    Under the most favourable conditions, it may reach about magnitude 8, which would make it visible in 11x80 binoculars or a small
    telescope.
    
    Unfortunately, only the most southerly parts of Australia have the most favourable conditions, and then only around the summer
    solstice. Melbourne has a good pass in a couple of days; the object may reach mag 8.3 just before it enters Earth's penumbra:
    
     5/ 1/ 3  00:00 - 05:36 DST   J2000.0  EL >  0  Melbourne AU
    FEDSAT         02056B   27598   Bull =   27    Melbourne AU
    SGP4  Age =    2.8 d  Unc =    0 s ( 25%) Src = 0
    
      TIME      %I   Mvd    AZ  EL     R.A.       DEC      FE    VANG  RANGE   ALT
    --------    --  ----   ---  --   --------  ---------  ----   ----  -----  -----
    00:01:56    13  14.3   168   0   16:18:45  -50:48:26   5.8   0.06   3300    818
    00:04:02    17  13.2   168   9   16:02:18  -59:17:38   5.9   0.08   2461    815
    00:05:32    21  12.2   168  18   15:34:30  -67:50:04   5.9   0.12   1876    813
    00:06:33    27  11.4   169  27   14:38:08  -75:41:19   6.0   0.17   1499    812
    00:07:16    32  10.7   169  36   12:14:07  -81:11:25   6.0   0.24   1254    811
    00:07:48    38  10.1   170  45   08:37:28  -79:51:12   6.1   0.30   1091    810
    00:08:13    45   9.6   172  53   06:56:10  -73:31:07   6.1   0.37    980    809
    00:08:33    51   9.2   173  61   06:15:10  -66:17:01   6.2   0.42    908    809
    00:08:51    57   8.9   177  69   05:52:27  -58:31:46   6.3   0.47    858    808
    00:09:07    62   8.6   184  77   05:38:22  -50:51:19   6.5   0.51    827    808
    00:09:22    68   8.5   207  84   05:28:23  -43:12:21   7.3   0.52    812    808
    00:09:36    73   8.3   289  85   05:20:56  -35:53:21  10.0   0.53    810    807
    00:09:39 EP 74   8.3   302  84   05:19:24  -34:11:30  10.5   0.53    811    807
    00:09:50 EU 77   inv   323  79   05:14:47  -28:38:22  11.1   0.51    821    807
    
    Ted Molczan
    
    
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    This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Thu Jan 02 2003 - 18:58:53 EST