There is one more decayer, #19541 = Molniya 3-33, to add to the batch
for which decay notices appear on my decay Watch page. See there for
further predicted elsets, beyond those in the following summary.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #11556 = 79- 70 D = name Molniya 1-44 r2
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Jan 31 09:17 Feb 2 08:10 +-1d 56.3 N 100.1 E
SatEvo Jan 31 19:45 Feb 2 12:15 +-16h
Latest elset:
Molniya 1-44 r2 937 x 108 km
1 11556U 79070D 02031.33233036 .15291764 81216-5 34336-3 0 5918
2 11556 62.1314 234.4487 0601114 325.0718 31.5000 15.14541824188436
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #19541 = 88- 90 A = Molniya 3-33
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Jan 31 00:19 Feb 2 22:50 +-2d 23.2 N 179.9 E
SatEvo (not predicted)
Latest elsets:
Molniya 3-33 6283 x 79 km
1 19541U 88090A 02031.64722222 .02833100 65311-5 56179-4 0 1260
2 19541 62.1844 132.5505 3244948 260.5802 278.8127 9.28957682 98092
Molniya 3-33 5729 x 494 km
1 19541U 88090A 02031.69006733 .77546091 00000-0 44174+2 0 1267
2 19541 62.3017 132.2784 2758253 258.0391 67.8534 9.39224979 98103
Note: This was lost recently for 12 days and, since its recovery, its
elsets have been of such poor quality (see the examples above) that I
hesitate to make a decay prediction.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #21987 = 92- 31 A = EUVE
(See my earlier posting to SeeSat)
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #24736 = 96- 10 F = Raduga 33 aux motor
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Jan 30 21:14 Feb 2 21:42 +-2d 21.9 N 36.9 E
SatEvo Jan 31 20:00 Feb 3 02:56 +-20h
Latest elsets:
Raduga 33 aux motor 1353 x 198 km
1 24736U 96010F 02031.36534874 .17424675 80700-5 44685-1 0 3138
2 24736 47.6171 125.6816 0807353 85.5171 283.8053 14.34930053 64351
Raduga 33 aux motor 1252 x 266 km
1 24736U 96010F 02031.50435003 .16842093 00000-0 19501+0 0 3143
2 24736 47.6172 125.2340 0690914 86.1615 283.0283 14.39842584 64367
Raduga 33 aux motor 1239 x 251 km
1 24736U 96010F 02031.64291949 .15830577 00000-0 13604+0 0 3159
2 24736 47.6248 124.5694 0693458 86.9719 282.1010 14.44202590 64376
Note: This enters eclipse while northbound near 29 deg S at a height
of ~1100 km in the evening sky. Eclipse exit occurs southbound near
48 deg N and not long after perigee before dawn. The two latest elsets
have a much-too-high perigee and are ignored in my prediction.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #24947 = 97- 51 D = Iridium 27 tum
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Jan 31 08:03 Feb 1 07:56 +-15h 44.5 S 174.5 E
SatEvo Jan 31 20:05 Feb 1 05:46 +-5h 17.1 N 28.1 E
Latest elset:
Iridium 27 tum 4.0 1.8 0.0 6.5 d 7.6 198 x 193 km
1 24947U 97051D 02031.41810384 .06395116 -14146-5 16319-2 0 2025
2 24947 86.5739 67.3808 0003973 256.8950 103.1952 16.28930849242857
SatEvo prediction:
(..ends)
Iridium 27 tum 4.0 1.8 0.0 6.5 d 7.6 149 x 146 km
1 24947U 97051D 02032.15228821 .34646478 10417+1 74901-3 0 92029
2 24947 86.5677 66.9836 0001876 253.6337 106.3457 16.46975273242976
Iridium 27 tum 4.0 1.8 0.0 6.5 d 7.6 131 x 130 km
1 24947U 97051D 02032.21295409 .92348370 10027+2 69028-3 0 92028
2 24947 86.5658 66.9501 0001217 253.3588 106.6279 16.53354843242986
Note: I show this decaying southbound over the Sudan, NE Africa,
following a pass over eastern Europe.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #25988 = 99- 65 J = Orbcomm 30 Pegasus r2
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Jan 30 22:01 Feb 1 22:14 +-1d 25.1 S 131.1 E
SatEvo Jan 31 20:20 Feb 1 20:51 +-10h 1.0 S 173.8 E
Latest elset:
Orb 30 Peg r2 1.3 1.0 0.0 7.5 d 1.0 232 x 192 km
1 25988U 99065J 02031.33961776 .03906087 74777-5 13817-2 0 6943
2 25988 40.9355 278.7401 0029988 320.9424 38.9514 16.22740969120042
SatEvo prediction:
(..ends)
Orb 30 Peg r2 1.3 1.0 0.0 7.5 d 1.0 159 x 143 km
1 25988U 99065J 02032.74803923 .30483845 78578+0 69263-3 0 96943
2 25988 40.9301 269.1740 0011881 332.6783 27.2592 16.45549287120271
Orb 30 Peg r2 1.3 1.0 0.0 7.5 d 1.0 143 x 132 km
1 25988U 99065J 02032.80864066 .67233378 42200+1 62247-3 0 96948
2 25988 40.9292 268.7522 0008348 333.1959 26.7610 16.50821992120286
Note: I predict that this will decay after perigee on the last of these
predicted orbits, northbound over the central Pacific.
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55.8968N 3.1989W +208m (WGS84 datum)
Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
*
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Thu Jan 31 2002 - 15:43:57 EST