A summary of the updated notices on my Decay Watch page - see the full
notices for the missing predicted elsets:
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #21987 = 92- 31 A = EUVE
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Jan 27 15:22 Jan 31 02:51 +-2d 27.8 N 50.9 W
SatEvo Jan 28 19:45 Jan 31 09:01 +-18h
Latest elset:
EUVE 3.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 d 19 212 x 207 km
1 21987U 92031A 02028.65993027 .01974660 -75522-5 69792-3 0 7720
2 21987 28.4261 166.4049 0003609 31.5016 328.5747 16.23871895538604
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #22013 = 92- 38 B = Sampex Scout rocket
Final decay analyses:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Jan 28 06:27 Jan 28 02:28 +-22m 8.2 S 70.0 E
SatEvo Jan 28 19:25 Jan 28 02:26 +-25m 24.4 S 71.6 E
Final elset:
Sampex r 3.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 d 0.89 140 x 130 km
1 22013U 92038B 02028.06719327 .34186820 -63272-6 31114-3 0 620
2 22013 81.5930 51.5517 0007773 170.2329 190.9956 16.51562329524514
Note: I have this decaying southbound over the Indian Ocean.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #24947 = 97- 51 D = Iridium 27 tum
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Jan 28 11:44 Feb 1 10:23 +-2d 15.1 S 38.2 W
SatEvo Jan 28 19:50 Feb 1 11:14 +-1.2d
Latest elset:
Iridium 27 tum 4.0 1.8 0.0 6.5 d 7.6 247 x 245 km
1 24947U 97051D 02028.57271456 .01807299 26509-2 20121-2 0 1874
2 24947 86.5784 68.8789 0001461 220.9736 139.1406 16.10235697242397
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #26872 = 01- 31 B = GOES 12 Atlas 2a rocket
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Jan 28 15:44 Jan 29 03:52 +-8h 5.1 N 72.0 W
SatEvo Jan 28 20:00 Jan 29 03:46 +-4h 6.1 N 69.5 W
Latest elset:
GOES 12 Atlas 2a r 1814 x 116 km
1 26872U 01031B 02028.61608515 .99999999 -67697-5 51836-2 0 1343
2 26872 20.1473 102.0391 1156207 31.6804 337.4991 13.79783889 5176
SatEvo prediction:
GOES 12 Atlas 2a r 1234 x 105 km
1 26872U 01031B 02028.89613965 1.97485489 16792+1 43625-2 0 91341
2 26872 20.1326 100.2890 0800895 34.8560 330.1395 14.67340595 5213
GOES 12 Atlas 2a r 1052 x 103 km
1 26872U 01031B 02028.96336888 2.40412117 27213+1 43831-2 0 91341
2 26872 20.1290 99.8301 0682395 35.6888 328.6888 14.96522478 5222
GOES 12 Atlas 2a r 835 x 100 km
1 26872U 01031B 02029.02911868 3.22802090 64626+1 45582-2 0 91344
2 26872 20.1231 99.3598 0536187 36.5424 327.0006 15.32815221 5231
GOES 12 Atlas 2a r 524 x 96 km
1 26872U 01031B 02029.09293934 6.14592376 33539+2 54125-2 0 91348
2 26872 20.1170 98.8738 0320010 37.4245 324.7621 15.87208697 5241
Note: I calculate that this will decay near the end of the final
SatEvo-predicted orbit above. This places it near the border between
Colombia and Venezuela and in close agreement with SpaceCom's
prediction.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #26889 = 01- 35 B = SimpleSat 1
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Jan 28 07:23 Jan 30 07:32 +-1d 51.6 S 31.5 E
SatEvo Jan 28 20:15 Jan 30 08:05 +-12h
Latest elset:
SimpleSat 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 7.5 d 0.23 199 x 196 km
1 26889U 01035B 02028.43508215 .02696830 12088-4 67834-3 0 2689
2 26889 51.6130 17.0088 0002016 7.7798 352.3151 16.28226026 26870
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55.8968N 3.1989W +208m (WGS84 datum)
Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
*
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Mon Jan 28 2002 - 15:27:35 EST