SatEvo decay list #123 (issued 2002 January 26) These tables of my satellite decay (re-entry) analyses and predictions are posted to the satellite observers mailing list, SeeSat-L, and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe. Information about SeeSat-L is available at http://www.satobs.org/seesat/seesatindex.html The decay dates are based on each object's published orbital element sets ("elsets") and, in the case pending decay, are included until 2002 March 20, although some larger and/or more interesting objects are included beyond that date. The disintegration of the final stage of the Indian TES PSLV rocket on December 19 has left us with a large number of new debris objects, many of which will decay over the coming two years. This and other recent decay lists are available on the WWW via my SatEvo page at http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/ Linked from this page are files containing recent elsets for all the Iridium satellites, all the objects in this decay list, plus elsets for other selected objects including the ISS, Starshine satellites, the Shuttle and all newly launched and/or catalogued objects. I also maintain a large file, satbase.tle, containing recent elsets for 8,200+ satellites. This is available in zipped form from the same address. # Designation Name Estimated actual decay 2002 26966 94- 77 L Cos 2297 Zenit deb January 3.5 24134 94- 29 GH STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 5.7 9828 76-126 AQ Cosmos 886 deb January 6.2 13023 81- 53 EV Cosmos 1275 deb January 9.1 27024 99- 72 T Cosmos 2367 deb January 9.1 24155 94- 29 HE STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 10.8 26316 99- 57 GZ CBERS LM4 deb January 11.5 23733 95- 67 D Telecom 2C Spelda January 13.43 11932 80- 69 A Cosmos 1206 January 13.81 20307 78-100 AS Cos 1045 SL-14 deb January 13.8 13432 82- 83 A Molniya 3-19 January 13.86 14319 83- 90 D Molniya 3-21 r2 January 16.06 27166 98- 67 N ISS deb January 16.6 8309 74- 89 BS NOAA 4 Thorad Dlt deb January 17.3 22660 92- 93 HY Cos 2227 Zenit deb January 18? 25191 87- 68 S Met 2-16 Tsyklon deb January 18? 27182 01- 49 EA TES PSLV deb January 18.5 14505 67- 14 J Diademe 2 Diamant deb January 19.4 11056 78- 94 B Cosmos 1043 r January 19.91 27199 01- 49 ET TES PSLV deb January 20.6 1673 65- 82 AL OV2-1/LCS2 deb January 20.7 27016 99- 72 K Cosmos 2367 deb January 20.7 5759 70- 89 CK Cosmos 374 deb January 20.9 22372 92- 93 BM Cos 2227 Zenit deb January 21.8 18511 73- 86 GV NOAA 3 Delta 1 deb January 23 27176 01- 49 DU TES PSLV deb January 23.5 24132 94- 29 GF STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 23.9 27312 01- 49 KJ TES PSLV deb January 24 27313 01- 49 KK TES PSLV deb January 25.1 26625 00- 76 B Anik F1 Ariane 44L r January 25.24 27209 01- 49 FD TES PSLV deb January 26.0 # Designation Name Predicted decay 2002 26160 99- 57 AW CBERS LM4 deb January 27 26279 99- 57 FR CBERS LM4 deb January 27 22013 92- 38 B Sampex r January 28 26660 99- 57 LS CBERS LM4 deb January 28 27274 01- 49 HW TES PSLV deb January 28 26872 01- 31 B GOES 12 Atlas 2a r January 29 27214 01- 49 FJ TES PSLV deb January 29 27288 01- 49 JL TES PSLV deb January 29 26784 71-120 J Meteor 1-10 SL-3 deb January 30 26889 01- 35 B SimpleSat 1 January 30 26925 91- 50 G ERS-1 Ariane 40 deb January 30 3342 68- 66 D Explorer 39 Scout deb January 31 18678 63- 14 DL Westford Needles deb January 31 24179 94- 29 JE STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 31 27314 01- 49 KL TES PSLV deb January 31 21987 92- 31 A EUVE February 1 24947 97- 51 D Iridium 27 tum February 1 11556 79- 70 D Molniya 1-44 r2 February 3 24736 96- 10 F Raduga 33 aux motor February 3 25988 99- 65 J Orbcomm 30 Pegasus r2 February 3 26820 69- 82 LG OPS 1807 ThAg deb February 3 27278 01- 49 JA TES PSLV deb February 5 27197 01- 49 ER TES PSLV deb February 6 27325 01- 49 KX TES PSLV deb February 6 24191 94- 29 JS STEP-2 Pegasus deb February 7 27257 01- 49 HD TES PSLV deb February 7 27301 01- 49 JX TES PSLV deb February 7 22556 92- 93 HS Cos 2227 Zenit deb February 8 27277 01- 49 HZ TES PSLV deb February 8 6221 72- 76 D OPS 8180 AtBrnr deb February 9 19541 88- 90 A Molniya 3-33 February 9 Note 1 23009 94- 10 B Dummy mass February 9 24261 94- 29 ML STEP-2 Pegasus deb February 9 27282 01- 49 JE TES PSLV deb February 9 21141 91- 15 C Ariane 44LP r February 12 4210 69- 82 BZ OPS 1807 ThAg deb February 13 19544 88- 90 D Molniya 3-33 r2 February 13 22427 92- 93 DU Cos 2227 Zenit deb February 13 13772 68- 97 DY Cosmos 252 deb February 14 27220 01- 49 FQ TES PSLV deb February 14 661 61- 15 HN Transit 4A deb February 15 11269 79- 12 B Cosmos 1077 r February 15 27256 01- 49 HC TES PSLV deb February 15 1843 65-106 A Cosmos 100 February 16 7855 72- 58 AB Landsat 1 Delta 1 deb February 16 27326 01- 49 KY TES PSLV deb February 16 27300 01- 49 JW TES PSLV deb February 18 26752 99- 57 LZ CBERS LM4 deb February 19 27232 01- 49 GC TES PSLV deb February 19 27261 01- 49 HH TES PSLV deb February 20 11600 79- 93 A Cosmos 1143 February 21 27293 01- 49 JR TES PSLV deb February 21 27170 01- 49 DN TES PSLV deb February 22 27264 01- 49 HL TES PSLV deb February 22 19301 82- 55 BK Cosmos 1375 deb February 23 27201 01- 49 EV TES PSLV deb February 23 27212 01- 49 FG TES PSLV deb February 23 27262 01- 49 HJ TES PSLV deb February 23 23460 94- 87 F Raduga 32 aux motor February 24 27243 01- 49 GP TES PSLV deb February 24 27321 01- 49 KT TES PSLV deb February 24 27280 01- 49 JC TES PSLV deb February 25 27284 01- 49 JG TES PSLV deb February 25 4976 70- 25 GW Nimbus 4 ThAg deb February 27 26312 99- 57 GV CBERS LM4 deb March 1 27233 01- 49 GD TES PSLV deb March 1 24779 97- 18 A Minisat-01 March 2 27292 01- 49 JQ TES PSLV deb March 3 27318 01- 49 KQ TES PSLV deb March 3 4015 61- 15 JN Transit 4A deb March 6 27228 01- 49 FY TES PSLV deb March 6 24130 94- 29 GD STEP-2 Pegasus deb March 7 27244 01- 49 GQ TES PSLV deb March 7 24981 94- 29 ACP STEP-2 Pegasus deb March 8 27206 01- 49 FA TES PSLV deb March 8 27279 01- 49 JB TES PSLV deb March 13 24242 94- 29 LR STEP-2 Pegasus deb March 14 27195 01- 49 EP TES PSLV deb March 14 23742 95- 69 B Galaxy 3R Centaur r March 15 27112 01- 49 BG TES PSLV deb March 15 27120 01- 49 BQ TES PSLV deb March 15 27253 01- 49 GZ TES PSLV deb March 15 27304 01- 49 KA TES PSLV deb March 15 12267 78- 26 DL Landsat 3 Delta 1 deb March 17 20651 90- 43 K Macsat 1 Scout deb March 17 24135 94- 29 GJ STEP-2 Pegasus deb March 17 25018 97- 64 B Lacrosse 3 r March 17 26757 99- 57 ME CBERS LM4 deb March 17 8155 74- 89 V NOAA 4 Thorad Dlt deb March 18 24198 94- 29 JZ STEP-2 Pegasus deb March 18 25498 85- 56 G Giotto Ariane 1 deb March 18 24645 96- 61 A SAC-B/HETE + r April 13 22780 93- 54 B GPS 2-22 r1 April 18 5281 71- 52 A Cosmos 426 April 22 2129 66- 26 B P-35-15 r May 11821 80- 44 A Cosmos 1184 May 17131 86- 19 AA Spot 1 r deb May 25389 98- 42 A Tubsat N May 25987 99- 65 H Orbcomm 30 Pegasus r1 May 26641 00- 81 D Astra 2D Ariane 5 r May 26996 01- 54 B Starshine 2 May 24780 93- 54 B Celestis June 26929 01- 43 A Starshine 3 November Note 1. No elsets have been issued recently for #19541 = Molniya 3-33 which may be lost temporarily. Alan -- Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55.8968N 3.1989W +208m (WGS84 datum) Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/ Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/ * ----------------------------------------------------------------- Unsubscribe from SeeSat-L by sending a message with 'unsubscribe' in the SUBJECT to SeeSat-L-request@lists.satellite.eu.org http://www.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html
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