SatEvo decay list #123

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Sat Jan 26 2002 - 11:46:35 EST

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    SatEvo decay list #123 (issued 2002 January 26)
    
    These tables of my satellite decay (re-entry) analyses and predictions
    are posted to the satellite observers mailing list, SeeSat-L, and to
    the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe.
    Information about SeeSat-L is available at
             http://www.satobs.org/seesat/seesatindex.html
    
    The decay dates are based on each object's published orbital element
    sets ("elsets") and, in the case pending decay, are included until
    2002 March 20, although some larger and/or more interesting objects
    are included beyond that date. The disintegration of the final stage
    of the Indian TES PSLV rocket on December 19 has left us with a large
    number of new debris objects, many of which will decay over the
    coming two years.
    
    This and other recent decay lists are available on the WWW via my
    SatEvo page at
             http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    Linked from this page are files containing recent elsets for all the
    Iridium satellites, all the objects in this decay list, plus elsets for
    other selected objects including the ISS, Starshine satellites,
    the Shuttle and all newly launched and/or catalogued objects. I also
    maintain a large file, satbase.tle, containing recent elsets for
    8,200+ satellites. This is available in zipped form from the same
    address.
    
        #    Designation    Name          Estimated actual decay
                                                   2002
    
      26966   94- 77 L   Cos 2297 Zenit deb     January  3.5
      24134   94- 29 GH  STEP-2 Pegasus deb     January  5.7
       9828   76-126 AQ  Cosmos 886 deb         January  6.2
      13023   81- 53 EV  Cosmos 1275 deb        January  9.1
      27024   99- 72 T   Cosmos 2367 deb        January  9.1
      24155   94- 29 HE  STEP-2 Pegasus deb     January 10.8
      26316   99- 57 GZ  CBERS LM4 deb          January 11.5
      23733   95- 67 D   Telecom 2C Spelda      January 13.43
      11932   80- 69 A   Cosmos 1206            January 13.81
      20307   78-100 AS  Cos 1045 SL-14 deb     January 13.8
      13432   82- 83 A   Molniya 3-19           January 13.86
      14319   83- 90 D   Molniya 3-21 r2        January 16.06
      27166   98- 67 N   ISS deb                January 16.6
       8309   74- 89 BS  NOAA 4 Thorad Dlt deb  January 17.3
      22660   92- 93 HY  Cos 2227 Zenit deb     January 18?
      25191   87- 68 S   Met 2-16 Tsyklon deb   January 18?
      27182   01- 49 EA  TES PSLV deb           January 18.5
      14505   67- 14 J   Diademe 2 Diamant deb  January 19.4
      11056   78- 94 B   Cosmos 1043 r          January 19.91
      27199   01- 49 ET  TES PSLV deb           January 20.6
       1673   65- 82 AL  OV2-1/LCS2 deb         January 20.7
      27016   99- 72 K   Cosmos 2367 deb        January 20.7
       5759   70- 89 CK  Cosmos 374 deb         January 20.9
      22372   92- 93 BM  Cos 2227 Zenit deb     January 21.8
      18511   73- 86 GV  NOAA 3 Delta 1 deb     January 23
      27176   01- 49 DU  TES PSLV deb           January 23.5
      24132   94- 29 GF  STEP-2 Pegasus deb     January 23.9
      27312   01- 49 KJ  TES PSLV deb           January 24
      27313   01- 49 KK  TES PSLV deb           January 25.1
      26625   00- 76 B   Anik F1 Ariane 44L r   January 25.24
      27209   01- 49 FD  TES PSLV deb           January 26.0
    
    
        #    Designation    Name              Predicted decay
                                                   2002
    
      26160   99- 57 AW  CBERS LM4 deb          January 27
      26279   99- 57 FR  CBERS LM4 deb          January 27
      22013   92- 38 B   Sampex r               January 28
      26660   99- 57 LS  CBERS LM4 deb          January 28
      27274   01- 49 HW  TES PSLV deb           January 28
      26872   01- 31 B   GOES 12 Atlas 2a r     January 29
      27214   01- 49 FJ  TES PSLV deb           January 29
      27288   01- 49 JL  TES PSLV deb           January 29
      26784   71-120 J   Meteor 1-10 SL-3 deb   January 30
      26889   01- 35 B   SimpleSat 1            January 30
      26925   91- 50 G   ERS-1 Ariane 40 deb    January 30
       3342   68- 66 D   Explorer 39 Scout deb  January 31
      18678   63- 14 DL  Westford Needles deb   January 31
      24179   94- 29 JE  STEP-2 Pegasus deb     January 31
      27314   01- 49 KL  TES PSLV deb           January 31
      21987   92- 31 A   EUVE                  February  1
      24947   97- 51 D   Iridium 27 tum        February  1
      11556   79- 70 D   Molniya 1-44 r2       February  3
      24736   96- 10 F   Raduga 33 aux motor   February  3
      25988   99- 65 J   Orbcomm 30 Pegasus r2 February  3
      26820   69- 82 LG  OPS 1807 ThAg deb     February  3
      27278   01- 49 JA  TES PSLV deb          February  5
      27197   01- 49 ER  TES PSLV deb          February  6
      27325   01- 49 KX  TES PSLV deb          February  6
      24191   94- 29 JS  STEP-2 Pegasus deb    February  7
      27257   01- 49 HD  TES PSLV deb          February  7
      27301   01- 49 JX  TES PSLV deb          February  7
      22556   92- 93 HS  Cos 2227 Zenit deb    February  8
      27277   01- 49 HZ  TES PSLV deb          February  8
       6221   72- 76 D   OPS 8180 AtBrnr deb   February  9
      19541   88- 90 A   Molniya 3-33          February  9  Note 1
      23009   94- 10 B   Dummy mass            February  9
      24261   94- 29 ML  STEP-2 Pegasus deb    February  9
      27282   01- 49 JE  TES PSLV deb          February  9
      21141   91- 15 C   Ariane 44LP r         February 12
       4210   69- 82 BZ  OPS 1807 ThAg deb     February 13
      19544   88- 90 D   Molniya 3-33 r2       February 13
      22427   92- 93 DU  Cos 2227 Zenit deb    February 13
      13772   68- 97 DY  Cosmos 252 deb        February 14
      27220   01- 49 FQ  TES PSLV deb          February 14
        661   61- 15 HN  Transit 4A deb        February 15
      11269   79- 12 B   Cosmos 1077 r         February 15
      27256   01- 49 HC  TES PSLV deb          February 15
       1843   65-106 A   Cosmos 100            February 16
       7855   72- 58 AB  Landsat 1 Delta 1 deb February 16
      27326   01- 49 KY  TES PSLV deb          February 16
      27300   01- 49 JW  TES PSLV deb          February 18
      26752   99- 57 LZ  CBERS LM4 deb         February 19
      27232   01- 49 GC  TES PSLV deb          February 19
      27261   01- 49 HH  TES PSLV deb          February 20
      11600   79- 93 A   Cosmos 1143           February 21
      27293   01- 49 JR  TES PSLV deb          February 21
      27170   01- 49 DN  TES PSLV deb          February 22
      27264   01- 49 HL  TES PSLV deb          February 22
      19301   82- 55 BK  Cosmos 1375 deb       February 23
      27201   01- 49 EV  TES PSLV deb          February 23
      27212   01- 49 FG  TES PSLV deb          February 23
      27262   01- 49 HJ  TES PSLV deb          February 23
      23460   94- 87 F   Raduga 32 aux motor   February 24
      27243   01- 49 GP  TES PSLV deb          February 24
      27321   01- 49 KT  TES PSLV deb          February 24
      27280   01- 49 JC  TES PSLV deb          February 25
      27284   01- 49 JG  TES PSLV deb          February 25
       4976   70- 25 GW  Nimbus 4 ThAg deb     February 27
      26312   99- 57 GV  CBERS LM4 deb            March  1
      27233   01- 49 GD  TES PSLV deb             March  1
      24779   97- 18 A   Minisat-01               March  2
      27292   01- 49 JQ  TES PSLV deb             March  3
      27318   01- 49 KQ  TES PSLV deb             March  3
       4015   61- 15 JN  Transit 4A deb           March  6
      27228   01- 49 FY  TES PSLV deb             March  6
      24130   94- 29 GD  STEP-2 Pegasus deb       March  7
      27244   01- 49 GQ  TES PSLV deb             March  7
      24981   94- 29 ACP STEP-2 Pegasus deb       March  8
      27206   01- 49 FA  TES PSLV deb             March  8
      27279   01- 49 JB  TES PSLV deb             March 13
      24242   94- 29 LR  STEP-2 Pegasus deb       March 14
      27195   01- 49 EP  TES PSLV deb             March 14
      23742   95- 69 B   Galaxy 3R Centaur r      March 15
      27112   01- 49 BG  TES PSLV deb             March 15
      27120   01- 49 BQ  TES PSLV deb             March 15
      27253   01- 49 GZ  TES PSLV deb             March 15
      27304   01- 49 KA  TES PSLV deb             March 15
      12267   78- 26 DL  Landsat 3 Delta 1 deb    March 17
      20651   90- 43 K   Macsat 1 Scout deb       March 17
      24135   94- 29 GJ  STEP-2 Pegasus deb       March 17
      25018   97- 64 B   Lacrosse 3 r             March 17
      26757   99- 57 ME  CBERS LM4 deb            March 17
       8155   74- 89 V   NOAA 4 Thorad Dlt deb    March 18
      24198   94- 29 JZ  STEP-2 Pegasus deb       March 18
      25498   85- 56 G   Giotto Ariane 1 deb      March 18
      24645   96- 61 A   SAC-B/HETE + r           April 13
      22780   93- 54 B   GPS 2-22 r1              April 18
       5281   71- 52 A   Cosmos 426               April 22
       2129   66- 26 B   P-35-15 r                  May
      11821   80- 44 A   Cosmos 1184                May
      17131   86- 19 AA  Spot 1 r deb               May
      25389   98- 42 A   Tubsat N                   May
      25987   99- 65 H   Orbcomm 30 Pegasus r1      May
      26641   00- 81 D   Astra 2D Ariane 5 r        May
      26996   01- 54 B   Starshine 2                May
      24780   93- 54 B   Celestis                  June
      26929   01- 43 A   Starshine 3           November
    
    Note
    
    1. No elsets have been issued recently for #19541 = Molniya 3-33
    which may be lost temporarily.
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
    Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707:  55.8968N   3.1989W   +208m   (WGS84 datum)
    Edinburgh  / SatEvo & elsets:    http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    Scotland  / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
              *
    
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