The following update on the decay of #11056, the Cosmos 1043 rocket, is
a summary from my Decay Watch page.
I note that the catalogued debris objects from the TES PSLV rocket
disintegration has now reached #27267 = 01- 49 HP, a total of 201
objects. The early elsets suggest that more than half of these should
decay within a year or two.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #11056 = 78- 94 B = Cosmos 1043 rocket
Notice prepared: 2002 Jan 18 20:10 UTC
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Jan 18 01:39 Jan 20 02:09 +-1d 1.8 N 20.8 E
SatEvo Jan 18 20:10 Jan 19 19:47 +-7h 62.3 N 47.4 W
Latest elset:
Cosmos 1043 r 3.8 2.6 0.0 5.1 v 8.7 189 x 178 km
1 11056U 78094B 02018.71565104 .03896260 -93577-6 63708-3 0 8102
2 11056 81.1549 352.8115 0008061 180.8731 179.2445 16.33459542279766
SatEvo prediction:
Cosmos 1043 r 3.8 2.6 0.0 5.1 v 8.7 181 x 171 km
1 11056U 78094B 02019.02169219 .05085657 15808-1 62801-3 0 98103
2 11056 81.1540 352.3863 0007242 179.6541 180.3463 16.36195511279812
Cosmos 1043 r 3.8 2.6 0.0 5.1 v 8.7 173 x 164 km
1 11056U 78094B 02019.26612576 .06689368 30885-1 60465-3 0 98104
2 11056 81.1529 352.0453 0006438 178.6766 181.3251 16.39030721279859
Cosmos 1043 r 3.8 2.6 0.0 5.1 v 8.7 161 x 154 km
1 11056U 78094B 02019.51006192 .10360354 83815-1 46733-3 0 98102
2 11056 81.1516 351.7034 0005346 177.6965 182.3059 16.43040319279893
Cosmos 1043 r 3.8 2.6 0.0 5.1 v 8.7 138 x 134 km
1 11056U 78094B 02019.75318641 .32036069 10819+1 32496-3 0 98104
2 11056 81.1490 351.3598 0003269 176.7121 183.2900 16.51177337279931
Cosmos 1043 r 3.8 2.6 0.0 5.1 v 8.7 119 x 116 km
1 11056U 78094B 02019.81369120 1.44260424 22921+2 54440-3 0 98108
2 11056 81.1475 351.2734 0001691 176.4645 183.5367 16.58328887279946
Note: The latest elset shows this running 25 sec early against
yesterday's prediction. The decay has shifted earlier and I now
predict that this will occur northbound over the N Atlantic and
Greenland soon after the beginning of the final SatEvo-predicted
rev above. The uncertainty is still several orbits.
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55.8968N 3.1989W +208m (WGS84 datum)
Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Fri Jan 18 2002 - 15:32:36 EST