The following is a summary of my Decay Watch page update for Molniya
3-21 r2:
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #14319 = 83- 90 D = Molniya 3-21 r2
Notice prepared: 2002 Jan 15 22:10 UTC
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Jan 15 19:12 Jan 16 01:40 +-4h 1.9 N 171.1 E
SatEvo Jan 15 22:10 Jan 16 02:52 +-3h 39.9 S 124.5 E
Latest elset:
Molniya 3-21 r2 569 x 91 km
1 14319U 83090D 02015.77096167 .53579491 97794-5 43661-3 0 5026
2 14319 62.0254 310.5419 0355851 285.0557 167.2016 15.80206621138962
SatEvo prediction:
Molniya 3-21 r2 483 x 89 km
1 14319U 83090D 02015.88017345 .76817946 62063+0 49904-3 0 95024
2 14319 62.0196 310.1082 0295835 285.1021 71.6442 15.95914477138985
Molniya 3-21 r2 426 x 88 km
1 14319U 83090D 02015.94270816 .91742002 98541+0 52731-3 0 95024
2 14319 62.0165 309.8553 0254695 285.1293 72.0675 16.06379706138996
Molniya 3-21 r2 357 x 87 km
1 14319U 83090D 02016.00481251 1.18694296 22193+1 57306-3 0 95024
2 14319 62.0112 309.5999 0204323 285.1568 72.5925 16.19252690139009
Molniya 3-21 r2 260 x 85 km
1 14319U 83090D 02016.06637949 1.94163716 91290+1 67769-3 0 95027
2 14319 62.0058 309.3412 0133722 285.1847 73.3404 16.37456022139017
Note: I expect this to decay after perigee on the last of these SatEvo-
predicted orbits. This puts it northbound to the S of Australia on
a track that would carry it over the Great Australian Bight, to the E
of Alice Springs (at 02:56 UTC), and to the Gulf of Carpentaria.
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55.8968N 3.1989W +208m (WGS84 datum)
Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Tue Jan 15 2002 - 17:31:36 EST