A summary of the latest updated predictions form my Decay Watch page:
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #11932 = 80- 69 A = Cosmos 1206
Notice prepared: 2002 Jan 12 22:00 UTC
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Jan 12 01:53 Jan 13 23:45 +-1d 17.3 N 101.4 W
SatEvo Jan 12 22:00 Jan 13 20:03 +-8h 23.1 N 134.4 E
Latest elset:
Cosmos 1206 5.0 1.5 0.0 5.4 v 16 197 x 187 km
1 11932U 80069A 02012.54888132 .03882739 -97227-6 87287-3 0 5673
2 11932 81.1307 186.2251 0007159 292.6466 67.4201 16.30189023174713
SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
(ends)
Cosmos 1206 5.0 1.5 0.0 5.4 v 16 145 x 141 km
1 11932U 80069A 02013.71038710 .24839406 60331+0 38658-3 0 95673
2 11932 81.1243 184.6018 0003180 288.0096 71.9558 16.48612755174901
Cosmos 1206 5.0 1.5 0.0 5.4 v 16 134 x 131 km
1 11932U 80069A 02013.77102119 .46176044 27489+1 37901-3 0 95678
2 11932 81.1229 184.5153 0002414 287.7628 72.2108 16.52604468174913
Note: I predict that this will decay soon after the northbound equator
crossing at the end of the last orbit above. This puts it northbound
to the S of Japan following a pass across Western Australia. The
uncertainty is still several orbits.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #13432 = 82- 83 A = Molniya 3-19
Notice prepared: 2002 Jan 12 22:20 UTC
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Jan 12 10:42 Jan 14 03:32 +-1d 43.6 S 155.8 E
SatEvo Jan 12 22:20 Jan 14 06:50 +-12h
Latest elset:
Molniya 3-19 2379 x 83 km
1 13432U 82083A 02012.74513687 .49636995 20173-4 60780-3 0 6821
2 13432 62.2756 355.6595 1508774 279.8610 63.8852 13.08026298 69754
SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #14319 = 83- 90 D = Molniya 3-21 r2
Notice prepared: 2002 Jan 12 22:25 UTC
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Jan 12 11:40 Jan 15 10:36 +-2d 32.1 S 121.8 W
SatEvo Jan 12 22:25 Jan 16 12:27 +-1.3d
Latest elset:
Molniya 3-21 r2 1590 x 95 km
1 14319U 83090D 02012.50972764 .16500804 23909-4 28803-3 0 4791
2 14319 62.0304 321.6430 1035295 285.5258 63.4140 14.15088168138488
SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #23733 = 95- 67 D = Telecom 2C Spelda
Notice prepared: 2002 Jan 12 22:30 UTC
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Jan 12 08:38 Jan 13 07:37 +-14h 7.1 S 26.9 W
SatEvo Jan 12 22:30 Jan 13 10:45 +-5h 5.4 S 30.0 W
Latest elset:
Telecom 2C Spelda 585 x 143 km
1 23733U 95067D 02012.77045814 .32507857 -30025-4 43982-2 0 8467
2 23733 7.2093 298.0091 0327755 5.6800 355.6752 15.68195114 88435
SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
(ends)
Telecom 2C Spelda 352 x 132 km
1 23733U 95067D 02013.27282770 .70902771 96076+0 27963-2 0 98465
2 23733 7.2072 293.7929 0166781 14.0123 346.4449 16.11805164 88518
Telecom 2C Spelda 300 x 128 km
1 23733U 95067D 02013.33448992 .97471990 22614+1 27254-2 0 98466
2 23733 7.2067 293.2534 0130366 15.0785 345.3064 16.21948719 88521
Telecom 2C Spelda 218 x 122 km
1 23733U 95067D 02013.39566200 2.08748661 16770+2 28531-2 0 98467
2 23733 7.2061 292.7084 0073699 16.1554 344.0785 16.38367218 88534
Note: Being of low inclination, this is only observable at low
latitudes. I show this decaying near the end of the final predicted
orbit above, to the N of Recife, Brazil.
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55.8968N 3.1989W +208m (WGS84 datum)
Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
*
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Sat Jan 12 2002 - 17:57:16 EST