SpaceCom has posted its first decay warning for Molniya 3-19. Here
is a summary of the latest update to my Decay Watch page.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #11932 = 80- 69 A = Cosmos 1206
Notice prepared: 2002 Jan 10 19:35 UTC
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Jan 10 18:38 Jan 13 16:07 +-2d 47.3 N 1.2 E
SatEvo Jan 10 19:35 Jan 13 21:27 +-1d
Latest elset:
Cosmos 1206 5.0 1.5 0.0 5.4 v 16 224 x 218 km
1 11932U 80069A 02010.63926488 .01624835 00000-0 89712-3 0 5544
2 11932 81.1349 188.8500 0004911 334.5350 25.6312 16.19495922174405
SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #13432 = 82- 83 A = Molniya 3-19
Notice prepared: 2002 Jan 10 19:20 UTC
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Jan 10 05:48 Jan 13 22:41 +-2d 32.3 n 59.6 E
SatEvo Jan 10 19:20 Jan 14 04:30 +-1,2d
Latest elset:
Molniya 3-19 3647 x 152 km
1 13432U 82083A 02010.69646519 .30984044 00000-0 23723-1 0 6675
2 13432 62.4314 0.3762 2110918 277.8969 58.9306 11.52745018 69519
SatEvo prediction:
Molniya 3-19 3498 x 85 km
1 13432U 82083A 02011.04035776 .35170821 22899-1 62911-3 0 96648
2 13432 62.2999 359.5921 2088424 279.4523 57.6967 11.75751216 69546
Molniya 3-19 3331 x 85 km
1 13432U 82083A 02011.29375405 .37021598 25860-1 64038-3 0 96642
2 13432 62.2996 359.0448 2006615 279.4996 58.5165 11.94034868 69579
Molniya 3-19 3161 x 85 km
1 13432U 82083A 02011.54323604 .39092712 29534-1 65291-3 0 96646
2 13432 62.2899 358.4899 1922141 279.5478 59.3662 12.13012595 69600
Molniya 3-19 2990 x 85 km
1 13432U 82083A 02011.78877601 .41433889 34315-1 66678-3 0 96643
2 13432 62.2780 357.9266 1834664 279.5972 60.2493 12.32771110 69634
Molniya 3-19 2816 x 85 km
1 13432U 82083A 02012.03033547 .44138429 40647-1 67899-3 0 96641
2 13432 62.2666 357.3545 1743867 279.6478 61.1695 12.53423355 69662
Note: The perigee height in the latest elset is much too high - the
one in my prediction is probably more realistic. It enters eclipse
near 62 deg S, just after southern apex, and leaves eclipse while
southbound near 30 deg N in the morning sky.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #23733 = 95- 67 D = Telecom 2C Spelda
Notice prepared: 2002 Jan 10 19:45 UTC
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Jan 9 15:08 Jan 12 15:05 +-2d 7.1 N 55.7 E
SatEvo Jan 10 19:45 Jan 13 20:31 +-1.2d
Latest elset:
Telecom 2C Spelda 1014 x 185 km
1 23733U 95067D 02010.61003181 .10182115 00000-0 14265-1 0 8322
2 23733 7.1874 315.2795 0593977 333.3469 23.3853 14.89474676 88095
SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55.8968N 3.1989W +208m (WGS84 datum)
Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Thu Jan 10 2002 - 15:42:59 EST