Decay Forecast Ariane R/B

From: Harro Zimmer (Harro.Zimmer@t-online.de)
Date: Wed Jan 31 2001 - 12:15:59 PST

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    Report time 20:00 UTC
    
    1998-024C (#25313) Ariane 44P R/B
    
    SPACECOM'S ONE DAY BEFORE DECAY message - prepared Jan 31, 13:16 UTC - shows the 
    decay on           1 February, 13:33 UTC +/- 15 hours (5.7N, 11.1E)
    on a descending pass over the Atlantic. With the ELSETs  01031.181... -
    01031.501... MPM + REENTRY confirms this result within an error margin of 10
    minutes. But the last released ELSET 01031.687... shows a remarkable increase of 
    the drag and delivers an earlier decay:     
                      1 February, 10:29 UTC +/- 90 minutes (5.8N, 58.8E)
    on a southbound pass over the Indian Ocean. Let us waiting for the next
    ELSETs..... 
    
    Harro
    
    Harro.Zimmer@t-online.de
    Berlin. Germany
    
     
    
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