Decay watch: 2001 Jan 31

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Wed Jan 31 2001 - 12:01:57 PST

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    Another update to my Decay Watch page:
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #25313 = 98- 24 C = Nilesat Ariane 44P rocket
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                   UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SpaceCom   Jan 31 13:16     Feb  1 13:33 +-15h        5.7 N    11.1 E
    SatEvo     Jan 31 19:55     Feb  1 13:36 +-6h         4.0 N    34.0 E
    
    Latest elset:
    Nilesat Ariane 44P r                             1128 x 113 km
    1 25313U 98024C   01031.68773264  .48382797 -25594-4  14398-2 0  4366
    2 25313   6.3877 235.0188 0725706  85.4467 215.6317 14.82855953 37932
    
    SatEvo prediction: See the Decay Watch page.
    ..(Prediction ends)
    Nilesat Ariane 44P r                             455 x 104 km
    1 25313U 98024C   01032.48132501 1.56329934  30782+1  17012-2 0 94367
    2 25313   6.3824 228.8689 0264269  97.6318 265.3772 15.98214443 38054
    Nilesat Ariane 44P r                             324 x 100 km
    1 25313U 98024C   01032.54309021 2.68104498  14294+2  19925-2 0 94363
    2 25313   6.3814 228.3328 0169644  98.6940 263.2313 16.22702447 38064
    
    Note: The latest elset shows this running 99 sec late against 
    yesterday's SatEvo prediction. I predict that this will decay
    in daylight over eastern equatorial Africa, on the last of these 
    SatEvo-predicted orbits. This is only a little beyond SpaceCom's
    decay point.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
    Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707:  55d53m48.7s N   3d11m51.2s W      156m asl
    Edinburgh  / SatEvo & elsets:    http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    Scotland  / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
             *
    
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