Decay watch: Shenzhou 2 rocket decay imminent

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Sat Jan 20 2001 - 01:36:17 PST

  • Next message: Harro Zimmer: "CZ-2 Decay"

    (Posted at Jan 20 ~09:40 UTC) The decay of the Shenzhou 2 rocket is due
    very soon. The following is taken from my updated Decay Watch page...
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #26665 = 01-  1 B = Shenzhou 2 Long March 2F rocket
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                   UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SpaceCom   Jan 20 08:33     Jan 20 10:19 +-1h        40.6 S    55.9 W
    SatEvo     Jan 20 09:20     Jan 20 11:35 +-45m       41.3 S   116.0 W
    
    Latest elset:
    CZ-2 R/B        10.0  4.0  0.0  2.0 d   40       154 x 127 km
    1 26665U 01001B   01020.31893176  .21032225  89836-5  19674-3 0   580
    2 26665  42.5420 286.8287 0020640 229.3860 130.7186 16.49538073  1718
    
    SatEvo prediction:
    CZ-2 R/B        10.0  4.0  0.0  2.0 d   40       143 x 121 km
    1 26665U 01001B   01020.37937604  .28620360  68655+0  17900-3 0 90580
    2 26665  42.5413 286.4166 0016813 229.8654 129.9872 16.52647931  1726
    CZ-2 R/B        10.0  4.0  0.0  2.0 d   40       128 x 113 km
    1 26665U 01001B   01020.43973731  .50825293  29179+1  18292-3 0 90589
    2 26665  42.5402 286.0029 0011458 230.3466 129.5522 16.57158806  1738
    
    Note: The latest elset, released after 10 hour gap, shows this 
    running 13 seconds late against the prediction I posted yesterday. 
    I now show this decaying southbound over the SE Pacific.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
    Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707:  55d53m48.7s N   3d11m51.2s W      156m asl
    Edinburgh  / SatEvo & elsets:    http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    Scotland  / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
             *
    
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    This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Sat Jan 20 2001 - 01:38:18 PST