Report time 20:00 UTC 01001B (#26665) CZ-2 R/B SPACECOM'S 2 HOURS BEFORE DECAY message - prepared Jan 18, 11:38 UTC - shows the decay on 20 January, 10:31 UTC +/-01 day (12.7°S, 354.9°E) on a northbound pass over the Atlantic. MPM + REENTRY delivers with the ELSET'S 01017.933... - 01018.486... the decay on 20 January, 15:05 UTC +/- 90 minutes (15.5°N, 316.5°E) also on an ascending pass over the Atlantic. This time is nearly identical with my preceding data 23 hours ago. Alan's predictions shows the same behavior. I don't see any reason for SPACECOM'S 6 hours jump forward between their 3 DAYS BEFORE DECAY message and the fresh forecast. The predicted solar flux for the next 48 hours is furthermore decreasing. I see no indication for an earlier decay. Harro Harro.Zimmer@t-online.de Berlin Germany ----------------------------------------------------------------- Unsubscribe from SeeSat-L by sending a message with 'unsubscribe' in the SUBJECT to SeeSat-L-request@lists.satellite.eu.org http://www2.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html
This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Thu Jan 18 2001 - 12:27:29 PST