Decay Forecast CZ-2 R/B

From: Harro Zimmer (Harro.Zimmer@t-online.de)
Date: Wed Jan 17 2001 - 13:15:38 PST

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Report time 21:00 UTC

2001-001B (#26665) CZ-2 R/B

SPACECOM'S  3 DAYS BEFORE DECAY  message - prepared Jan 17, 19:57 UTC - shows
the decay on       20 January, 16:37 UTC +/- 02 days (25.3°N, 306.5°E)
on an northbound pass over the Atlantic.

MPM + REENTRY delivers with the ELSETs 01017.256... - 01017.810... the decay on
                   20 January, 15:07 UTC +/- 03 hours ( 11.2°N, 320.8°E)
on rev earlier ascending also over the Atlantic.

A factor of uncertainty is the development of the solar activity over the next
3 days. Now we observe a significant decrease of F = 10.7 and Ap. The decay 
could be slipped again for a few hours.

Harro
Harro.Zimmer@t-online.de
Berlin, Germany  

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