Decay watch: 2001 Jan 17

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Wed Jan 17 2001 - 11:25:21 PST

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    From my updated Decay Watch page...
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #26665 = 01-  1 B = Shenzhou 2 Long March 2F rocket
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                   UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SpaceCom   Jan 16 08:46     Jan 20 08:31 +-2d        21.7 S   114.6 W
    SatEvo     Jan 17 19:20     Jan 20 12:58 +-16h
    
    Latest elset:
    CZ-2 R/B        10.0  4.0  0.0  2.0 d   40       249 x 173 km
    1 26665U 01001B   01017.68717652  .01930524  85752-5  48715-3 0   410
    2 26665  42.5684 304.2743 0057306 189.6733 170.2461 16.23163949  1283
    
    SatEvo prediction:
    CZ-2 R/B        10.0  4.0  0.0  2.0 d   40       247 x 172 km
    1 26665U 01001B   01017.81020038  .02227240  20561-2  53362-3 0 90412
    2 26665  42.5683 303.4681 0056424 190.6103 169.2701 16.23768272  1305
    CZ-2 R/B        10.0  4.0  0.0  2.0 d   40       242 x 170 km
    1 26665U 01001B   01018.05613243  .02392282  24303-2  52500-3 0 90415
    2 26665  42.5680 301.8546 0054596 192.4856 167.3786 16.24903202  1348
    CZ-2 R/B        10.0  4.0  0.0  2.0 d   40       238 x 168 km
    1 26665U 01001B   01018.30188631  .02589812  29906-2  51563-3 0 90410
    2 26665  42.5677 300.2396 0052669 194.3628 165.4869 16.26126026  1385
    CZ-2 R/B        10.0  4.0  0.0  2.0 d   40       233 x 166 km
    1 26665U 01001B   01018.54744767  .02834531  37084-2  50600-3 0 90412
    2 26665  42.5673 298.6228 0050613 196.2419 163.5952 16.27455923  1420
    CZ-2 R/B        10.0  4.0  0.0  2.0 d   40       227 x 164 km
    1 26665U 01001B   01018.79279879  .03140703  46850-2  49524-3 0 90412
    2 26665  42.5670 297.0043 0048389 198.1232 161.7037 16.28918967  1467
    CZ-2 R/B        10.0  4.0  0.0  2.0 d   40       221 x 161 km
    1 26665U 01001B   01019.03791750  .03536140  62056-2  48298-3 0 90414
    2 26665  42.5665 295.3836 0045953 200.0069 159.8121 16.30551143  1506
    
    Note: The latest elset shows this running 3 sec late against the
    prediction I posted two days ago. A reminder that it is very bright 
    and visible over parts of the USA and S Europe in the evening, and 
    Australia in the morning sky.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
    Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707:  55d53m48.7s N   3d11m51.2s W      156m asl
    Edinburgh  / SatEvo & elsets:    http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    Scotland  / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
             *
    
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    This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Wed Jan 17 2001 - 11:26:49 PST